Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Lübeck		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.3
	2.7	3.5	2.37
	2.8	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.87	3.66	2.42
	2.87	3.66	2.43
	2.6	3.5	2.2
	2.76	3.6	2.28
	2.65	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	2.33 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
33.9%

Draw
26.1%

Arminia Bielefeld
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

26.6%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.5%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Lübeck - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klewin P. (G) 7. Hauptmann M. 17. Grupe T. (C) 27. Reddemann S. 37. Sternberg J. 13. Thiel M. 8. Egerer F. 31. Boland M. 25. Gozusirin T. 14. Akono C. 33. Schneider J.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 4. Oppie L. 38. Worl M. 8. Schreck S. 25. Mizuta K. 17. Biankadi M. 9. Klos F. (C) 34. Putaro L.
Substitutes
23. Daube M. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 29. Facklam M. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 3. Kastenhofer N. 30. Lohden J. 22. Sommer L. 20. Taffertshofer U. 21. Velasco R.	5. Belkahia S. 10. Boujellab N. 20. Geerkens T. 29. Koch H. 22. Oppermann L. (G) 6. Ozkan C. 7. Shipnoski N. 39. Wintzheimer M. 11. Yildirim A.
Coaches
Pfeiffer L.	Kniat M.

Preview

Lübeck is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arminia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
11.11.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Lübeck - Unterhaching	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	Verl - Lübeck	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Lübeck - Viktoria Köln	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Jahn Regensburg - Lübeck	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLWL
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
11.11.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV	1:2 penalties ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
28.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Ingolstadt	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Duisburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLWW

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