The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Mexico United 58.1%
Draw 22.3%
LA Galaxy II 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
22.9%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
23.9%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Mexico United's performance.
LA Galaxy II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LA Galaxy II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.8%
17.6%
23.5%
New Mexico United - LA Galaxy II Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. New Mexico will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for New Mexico: 35.4% – 82.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 9 (23.26%), has project points - 44, has currently - 39, has a chance of playoffs (16%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality15, importance43, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
New Mexico is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches LA Galaxy II is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
New Mexico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently New Mexico have a series of guest games.
In this match New Mexico is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.
Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
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