Match Info

Date: 25 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami)

Referee: Tattersall E. (Usa)


	Miami		LA Galaxy II

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.57	3.85	4.7
	1.5	3.9	5.2
	1.52	4.46	5.46
	1.53	4	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)	4 ↑ (3.62)	5.16 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
59.6%

Draw
22.8%

LA Galaxy II
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

25.8%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

LA Galaxy II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Miami - LA Galaxy II Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 8 and 10).

Miami has the most likely position - 7 (17.83%), has project points - 49, has currently - 21, has a good chance of playoffs (71%), has a chance of qtrs (32%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 12 (19.16%), has project points - 40, has currently - 21, has a small chance of playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 13, small importance 19, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Miami could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Miami is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
11.06.22	Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:2 ✺
08.06.22	Miami - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
04.06.22	Tulsa - Miami	0:0 ✺
28.05.22	Miami - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:2 ✺
21.05.22	Charleston Battery - Miami	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTTW
- LA Galaxy II
USL Championship
18.06.22	Sacramento Republic - LA Galaxy II	2:0 ✺
15.06.22	LA Galaxy II - Monterey Bay	3:2 ✺
11.06.22	LA Galaxy II - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:3 ✺
04.06.22	Rio Grande Valley - LA Galaxy II	0:1 ✺
28.05.22	LA Galaxy II - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWT

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