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Current Win Probability
Sacramento Republic 60.3%
Draw 22.8%
LA Galaxy II 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
23.6%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
23.6%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
LA Galaxy II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
37.5%
12.5%
Sacramento Republic - LA Galaxy II Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 4 - 50%). LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sacramento Republic: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
Sacramento Republic has the most likely position - 4 (16.74%), has project points - 55, has currently - 22, has a good chance of playoffs (82%), has a chance of qtrs (44%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 11 (17.68%), has project points - 41, has currently - 21, has a chance of playoffs (16%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality13, small importance19, small match rating16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 1.
Sacramento Republic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches LA Galaxy II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
LA Galaxy II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Sacramento Republic is a favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Sacramento Republic won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-17.
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