Match Info

Date: 5 September 2020, Saturday


	LDU Portoviejo		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.65	Watch
	4	3.75	1.7
	4.3	3.55	1.7	Watch
	4.1	3.7	1.71
	4.59	3.78	1.75
	4.33	3.6	1.73	Watch
	5.3	3.55	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↓ (5.64)	3.68 ↓ (3.98)	1.71 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Portoviejo
21%

Draw
25%

LDU Quito
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

23.1%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

19.4%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Portoviejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LDU Portoviejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

LDU Portoviejo - LDU Quito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

LDU Portoviejo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

LDU Quito is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

LDU Portoviejo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match LDU Quito is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.09.20	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
30.08.20	Universidad Católica - LDU Portoviejo	4:0 ✺
26.08.20	Emelec - LDU Portoviejo	2:1 ✺
22.08.20	LDU Portoviejo - Guayaquil City	3:1 ✺
18.08.20	Orense - LDU Portoviejo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWT
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.09.20	LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	Orense - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
25.08.20	LDU Quito - Delfín	1:0 ✺
22.08.20	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
19.08.20	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW

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