Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 1

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Orense		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.22
	3.34	3.15	2.33
	3.23	3.19	2.27	Watch
	3	2.88	2.25
	3.15	3.07	2.34	Watch
	3.33	3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (4.08)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	2.28 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orense
29.2%

Draw
30.1%

LDU Quito
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

27.4%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orense's performance.

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Orense - LDU Quito Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: LDU Quito will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Silva R. (G) 31. Velasco P. (C) 6. Callegari S. 15. Caicedo B. 3. Mina S. 25. Jaramilo R. 9. Charpentier P. 21. Rostagno G. 7. Vasquez S. 8. Armas D. 11. Herrera A.	1. Valle G. (G) 14. Quintero J. (C) 4. Ade R. 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 44. Segovia L. 20. Cornejo F. 26. Caicedo J. 99. Luna Tobar C. 13. Corozo J. 11. Estrada M. 8. Pretell J.
Substitutes
19. Bermudez M. 52. Bravo Y. 10. Burgoa V. 17. Caicedo E. 50. Hernandez E. 5. Lorenzo A. 26. Molina N. 51. Ortiz C. 22. Ortiz J. (G) 14. Pluas E. 45. Quinonez O.	10. Alvarado A. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 31. de la Cruz D. I. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 9. Medina J. 3. Mina R. 5. Minda K. 18. Olvera W. 23. Quinonez Y. 7. Redes R. 15. Villamil G.
Coaches
Antuna R.	Tiago Nunes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', Vasquez S. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Corozo J. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Luna Tobar C. ⚽,
39', Callegari S. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 2, Jaramilo R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rostagno G. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
53', Corozo J. 🟨,
59', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
62', Cornejo F. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
62', Estrada M. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
63', Armas D. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
63', Mina S. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,
69', Charpentier P. 🟨,
71', Luna Tobar C. ↓, Quinonez Y. ↑,
71', Caicedo J. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
75', Pretell J. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
77', Jaramilo R. 🟨,
80', Ade R. 🟨,
82', Jaramilo R. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
85', Charpentier P. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2.

Orense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

LDU Quito might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Orense won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Last Results with these Odds

LDU Quito - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 50.44%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.12.25	Orense - Libertad Loja	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Orense - LDU Quito	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Independiente del Valle - Orense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WLWTT
- LDU Quito
Club Friendly
07.02.26	LDU Quito - Always Ready	4:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.12.25	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
18.12.25	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.12.25	Libertad Loja - LDU Quito	2:1 ✺
10.12.25	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.12.25	Orense - LDU Quito	2:1
04.11.25	LDU Quito - Orense	4:0
28.06.25	Orense - LDU Quito	2:1
01.03.25	LDU Quito - Orense	4:0
06.10.24	LDU Quito - Orense	2:0
19.04.24	Orense - LDU Quito	1:0
22.09.23	LDU Quito - Orense	1:0

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