Match Info

Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 1

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	LDU Quito		Universidad Católica del Ecuador

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.30	3.50	Watch
	2.00	3.20	3.25
	2.08	3.40	3.40	Watch
	2.09	3.35	3.79
	2.2	3.35	3.22	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.20
	2.09	3.29	3.49	Watch
	2.00	3.25	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.13)	3.3 ↓ (3.34)	3.41 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
44.4%

Draw
28.2%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valle G. (G) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 4. Ade R. (C) 44. Segovia L. 57. Weigandt M. 31. Rodriguez J. 20. Cornejo F. 7. Rodriguez L. 23. Quinonez Y. 11. Estrada M. 13. Corozo J.	12. Lara J. (G) 24. Nazareno D. 33. Canga L. 37. Medina C. 30. Mejia E. 8. Clavijo E. 10. Martinez F. (C) 9. Londono A. 28. Diaz M. 32. Alonso M. 7. Fajardo J.
Substitutes
10. Alvarado A. 67. Carabali J. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 99. Luna Tobar C. 3. Mina R. 8. Pretell J. 33. Quinonez L. 77. Velasco K. 26. Zambrano I.	5. Cacciabue J. 1. Cueva L. (G) 11. Evans J. 3. Manriquez J. 14. Mina J. 15. Moreno L. 18. Palacios B. 23. Rodriguez A. 19. Sevillano M. 17. Troya R. 44. Valencia E. 26. Yanez S.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Fajardo J. ⚽, Alonso M. (A),
13', Segovia L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Segovia L. ↓, Quinonez L. ↑,
46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
46', Rodriguez L. ↓, Pretell J. ↑,
50', Pretell J. 🟨,
58', Corozo J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
66', Martinez F. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
66', Alonso M. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Deyverson ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
74', 2 - 1, Quinonez Y. ⚽, Cornejo F. (A),
78', Diaz M. ↓, Manriquez J. ↑,
78', Mejia E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
78', Clavijo E. ↓, Cacciabue J. ↑,
86', Quinonez Y. 🟨,
88', Quinonez Y. ↓, Carabali J. ↑,
90+7', Alvarado A. 🟨,
90+8', Weigandt M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 1.

In recent outings, LDU Quito has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Uni Católica is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

LDU Quito is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU Quito has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:25 (averaging 1.8:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for LDU Quito against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 14:11 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. Catolica	31	14	9	8	52:29	23	51
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Copa Libertadores
16.09.26	LDU Quito - Palmeiras	3:3 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.09.26	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.09.26	Palmeiras - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.09.26	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
01.09.26	LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTLWT
- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.09.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
10.09.26	Astillero - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.09.26	Delfín - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1 ✺
03.09.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	1:0
14.03.26	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1
21.12.25	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:0
Ecuadorian Copa
18.12.25	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:3
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.10.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	2:2
21.09.25	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:4
24.05.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	3:1

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