The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
LDU Quito 37.1%
Draw 31.4%
Palmeiras 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
28.2%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
28.4%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
57.1%
14.3%
LDU Quito - Palmeiras Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
1. Valle G. (G) 3. Mina R. 4. Ade R. (C) 44. Segovia L. 57. Weigandt M. 31. Rodriguez J. 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 23. Quinonez Y. 7. Rodriguez L. 13. Corozo J. 11. Estrada M.
1. Carlos Miguel (G) 26. Murilo 2. Barboza A. 3. Bruno Fuchs 4. Giay A. 17. Marlon Freitas 30. Lucas Evangelista 22. Piquerez J. (C) 11. Arias J. 8. Andreas Pereira 42. Lopez J.
Substitutes
10. Alvarado A. 67. Carabali J. 20. Cornejo F. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 99. Luna Tobar C. 8. Pretell J. 33. Quinonez L. 77. Velasco K. 15. Villamil G. 26. Zambrano I.
56. Arthur Gabriel 43. Benedetti 7. Felipe Anderson 39. Heittor Vinicius 12. Khellven 48. Larson 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 18. Mauricio 19. Sosa R. 9. Vitor Roque
Coaches
Alvarez G.
Abel Ferreira
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Marlon Freitas ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Segovia L. ⚽, Rodriguez L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Gonzalez Baquero S. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
56', Corozo J. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
61', Lopez J. 🟨,
67', Lopez J. ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
68', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, Vitor Roque (Penalty Awarded),
80', Weigandt M. ↓, Carabali J. ↑,
84', Mina R. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
85', Arias J. ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
89', Andreas Pereira ↓, Mauricio ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Estrada M. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, Estrada M. ⚽, Alvarado A. (A),
90+5', Estrada M. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Vitor Roque (Penalty Awarded),
1, Deyverson (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mauricio (Penalty Awarded),
2, Rodriguez L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Piquerez J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Estrada M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Lucas Evangelista (Penalty Awarded),
4, Cornejo F. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Felipe Anderson (Penalty Awarded),
5, Segovia L. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.
Recent performances by LDU Quito have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Palmeiras is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
LDU Quito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in LDU Quito: Allala Menendez G. F.
(Yellow Cards)
Quintero J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Palmeiras: Gomez G.
(Yellow Cards)
Jefte
(Knee Injury)
Paulinho
(Muscle Injury)
Sosa R.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, LDU Quito won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now
Palmeiras: 17.4% LDU Quito: 1.93%
Last Results with these Odds
LDU Quito - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.