Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 5

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	La Luz		Paysandú

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.10	4.00
	1.82	3	4.25
	1.91	3.15	4.5
	1.87	3.14	4.61	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.33
	1.82	3.05	4.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.27)	3.06 ↑ (2.97)	4.36 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Luz
49.3%

Draw
29.8%

Paysandú
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

30.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Luz's performance.

Paysandú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paysandú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Luz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paysandú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Luz - Paysandú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 13).

La Luz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paysandú has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, La Luz is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	La Luz	21	7	6	8	19:24	-5	27
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.05.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - La Luz	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	La Luz - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - La Luz	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	La Luz - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Cerrito - La Luz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTTT
- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.05.26	Paysandú - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Paysandú	3:2 ✺
16.05.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Paysandú - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

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