Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 21

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+


	La Luz		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3	3.35
	2.15	3.03	3.61
	2.15	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.37)	3.01 ↑ (2.98)	3.43 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Luz
43%

Draw
30.4%

Rampla Juniors
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.5%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

31.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

La Luz - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Rinaldi L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 3.

Recent performances by La Luz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rampla Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

La Luz could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, La Luz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Rampla Juniors - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.24%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.09.25	Atenas de San Carlos - La Luz	2:3 ✺
05.09.25	La Luz - Central Español	0:4 ✺
30.08.25	Tacuarembó - La Luz	1:1 ✺
26.08.25	La Luz - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Artigas - La Luz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLTWT
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.09.25	Rampla Juniors - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Colón Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Oriental de La Paz - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.06.25	Rampla Juniors - La Luz	4:0
22.03.25	La Luz - Rampla Juniors	0:0
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Rampla Juniors - La Luz	2:3 penalties
12.10.22	Rampla Juniors - La Luz	2:3
Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.08.22	Rampla Juniors - La Luz	0:3
29.05.22	La Luz - Rampla Juniors	2:0

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