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Current Win Probability
Tacuarembó 26.2%
Draw 30.1%
La Luz 43.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.7%
29.8%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
29.8%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tacuarembó's form might have worsened.
La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Luz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacuarembó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Luz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Tacuarembó - La Luz Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Tacuarembó will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). La Luz will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 0 - 1, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 13th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Tacuarembó (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
La Luz shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with La Luz holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Tacuarembó has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tacuarembó against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
La Luz
24
9
7
8
24:25
-1
34
13
Tacuarembo
24
6
7
11
18:27
-9
25
Last Results with these Odds
Tacuarembó - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.73%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
La Luz - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.48%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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