Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday


	La Nucía		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.85	1.95
	3.85	2.8	2.05
	3.8	2.8	2.03
	4.29	2.85	2.14
	3.7	2.88	2.15
	3.92	3.02	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.38)	2.87 ↑ (2.83)	2.06 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
23.4%

Draw
32%

Ibiza
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

32%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

24.3%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Nucía - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches La Nucía is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ibiza is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

La Nucía could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ibiza have a series of home games.

Ibiza will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches La Nucía won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.01.21	Hércules - La Nucía	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	La Nucía - Elche	0:1 ✺
16.12.20	Calahorra - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.12.20	La Nucía - Valencia B	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Atzeneta - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWTT
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.01.21	Ibiza - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.01.21	Ibiza - Levante B	1:0 ✺
10.01.21	Ibiza - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.21	Ibiza - Celta de Vigo	5:2 ✺
17.12.20	Ibiza - Compostela	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
25.10.20	Ibiza - La Nucía	3:0

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