Match Info

Date: 21 January 2021, Thursday


	Ibiza		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.85	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.3	3.55	1.82
	4	3.45	1.85
	4.02	3.6	1.92
	4.2	3.4	1.88
	4.15	3.62	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.04)	3.55 ↓ (3.57)	1.86 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
22.8%

Draw
26.5%

Athletic Bilbao
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

19.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibiza's form might have worsened.

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	13.2%	60.5%

Ibiza - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%). Athletic will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 45% – 76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Ibiza in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Athletic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ibiza have a series of home games.

In this match Athletic is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.01.21	Ibiza - Levante B	1:0 ✺
10.01.21	Ibiza - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.21	Ibiza - Celta de Vigo	5:2 ✺
17.12.20	Ibiza - Compostela	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.12.20	Peña Deportiva - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WWWWT
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish Supercopa
17.01.21	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	2:3 ET ✺
14.01.21	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.01.21	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	2:3 ✺
03.01.21	Athletic Bilbao - Elche	1:0 ✺
31.12.20	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWLWL

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