Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Australia Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Jack McLaughlan Oval (Newcastle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Play
Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Lambton Jaffas		Melbourne Victory

	1	X	2
	17	9	1.13	Watch
	14	9	1.1
	19	8.5	1.1	Watch
	14.34	8.1	1.13
	16.76	7.72	1.14	Watch
	21	9	1.05
	18.5	9.5	1.09	Watch
	19	8.5	1.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	17.45 ↑ (7.65)	8.67 ↑ (6.15)	1.11 ↓ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lambton Jaffas
5.3%

Draw
10.7%

Melbourne Victory
84%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

14.9%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lambton Jaffas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lambton Jaffas's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Victory's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Lambton Jaffas - Melbourne Victory Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lambton Jaffas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kennedy B. (G) 2. Buettner M. 17. McNaughton R. 44. Topor-Stanley N. 23. Waller T. 3. Bond P. 6. Papadimitrios R. 12. Oates J. 16. Cahill M. 9. Bradbery K. 11. Hay B.	25. Duncan J. (G) 2. Geria J. 5. Hamill B. 21. Roderick (C) 28. Bos K. 6. Teague R. 14. Valadon J. 31. Lee A. 8. Machach Z. 17. Velupillay N. 10. Fornaroli B.
Substitutes
21. Bozinovski A. (G) 22. Graham C. 8. McShane Z. 7. Pettit S. 10. Pratt S. 4. Verity N. 5. Webb S.	7. Arzani D. 30. Graskoski D. (G) 18. Monge F. 27. Piscopo R. 22. Rawlins J. 19. Reec J. 3. Traore A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Fornaroli B. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Lee A. ⚽, Velupillay N. (A),
33', Oates J. 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Bond P. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 3, Velupillay N. ⚽, Machach Z. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Teague R. ↓, Monge F. ↑,
51', 1 - 4, Velupillay N. ⚽, Valadon J. (A),
57', Buettner M. 🟨,
62', Hay B. ↓, Webb S. ↑,
62', Papadimitrios R. ↓, Graham C. ↑,
62', Fornaroli B. ↓, Reec J. ↑,
73', Graham C. 🟨,
83', Oates J. ↓, Pettit S. ↑,
86', Lee A. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
87', Bradbery K. ↓, Verity N. ↑,
87', Cahill M. ↓, Pratt S. ↑,

Preview

Lambton Jaffas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melbourne Victory could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Melbourne Victory is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lambton Jaffas
Australian NPL Northern NSW
03.08.24	Lambton Jaffas - Edgeworth Eagles	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Valentine Phoenix - Lambton Jaffas	3:1 ✺
13.07.24	Lambton Jaffas - Charlestown Azzurri	2:1 ✺
10.07.24	Newcastle Olympic - Lambton Jaffas	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	Lambton Jaffas - Broadmeadow Magic	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League
25.05.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory	3:1 ET ✺
18.05.24	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	1:2 ET ✺
12.05.24	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	2:1 penalties ✺
27.04.24	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWL

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