Match Info

Date: 14 April 2022, Thursday


	Lanús		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.14	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.07	3.1	3.4
	2.17	3.29	3.56
	2.15	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.11	3.3	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.02)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	3.38 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
43.6%

Draw
28.9%

Barcelona Guayaquil
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.3%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

29.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Lanús - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Lanús is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barcelona Guayaquil is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lanús could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lanús will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.04.22	Lanús - Aldosivi	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	Metropolitanos - Lanús	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Lanús	3:1 ✺
19.03.22	Lanús - Banfield	0:1 ✺
13.03.22	Lanús - Colón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLT
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.04.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Montevideo Wanderers	4:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.04.22	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:2 ✺
19.03.22	Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.03.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - América Mineiro	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWTL

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