Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 26

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Orense

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.50	5.50	Watch
	1.88	3.10	3.70
	1.77	3.40	4.20	Watch
	1.97	3.38	4.23
	1.89	3.36	4.19	Watch
	1.90	3.30	4.15
	1.64	3.56	5.59	Watch
	1.83	3.20	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.6)	3.35 ↓ (3.65)	4.46 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
51.4%

Draw
27.7%

Orense
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

21.3%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona Guayaquil's form might have worsened.

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 33. Baez J. (C) 4. Vallecilla G. 15. Perlaza J. 32. Lugo M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 7. Mendoza E. 23. Martinez T. 51. Wila J. 11. Rodriguez T.	12. Silva R. (G) 31. Velasco P. (C) 6. Callegari S. 45. Quinonez O. 15. Caicedo B. 7. Vasquez S. 14. Pluas E. 13. Mena A. 19. Bermudez M. 30. Burgoa V. 11. Herrera A.
Substitutes
13. Angulo J. L. (G) 63. Caidedo K. 26. Castillo B. 8. Diaz S. 50. Garcia J. 17. Gaspar D. 35. Intriago J. 70. Mejia M. 25. Perlaza R. 14. Rangel A. 27. Vargas W. 21. Villalba H.	24. Achilier G. 23. Chuchuca W. 53. Garces L. 50. Hernandez E. 57. Mairongo S. 26. Molina N. 10. Parrales M. 2. Quinonez B. 4. Quinonez S. 21. Rostagno G. 58. Toledo G. (G) 88. Valencia J.
Coaches
Trobbiani P.	Robles A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Vasquez S. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Rodriguez T. ⚽, Martinez T. (A),
34', Quinonez O. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Rodriguez T. ⚽, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (A),
45+2', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 3 - 0, Wila J. ⚽, Carabali B. (A),
59', Wila J. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
62', Herrera A. ↓, Chuchuca W. ↑,
62', Mena A. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
62', Quinonez O. ↓, Quinonez S. ↑,
69', Martinez T. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
69', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Intriago J. ↑,
76', Pluas E. ↓, Rostagno G. ↑,
76', Bermudez M. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
80', Carabali B. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
80', Mendoza E. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
85', Caicedo B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 1.6:0.1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.08.26	Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
05.08.26	LDU Portoviejo - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.08.26	Leones del Norte - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWTL
- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.08.26	Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Delfín - Orense	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Libertad Loja - Orense	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Orense - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
23.07.26	Orense - SD Aucas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.04.26	Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1
14.12.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense	2:1
09.11.25	Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:2
02.08.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense	2:0
14.04.25	Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1
17.08.24	Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:2
16.03.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense	0:0

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