Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 4
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport 2
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:00	Izzi TV
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport PPV 3
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Las Palmas		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2.01	Watch
	3.50	3.60	1.87
	3.3	3.4	2	Watch
	3.56	3.75	2.1
	3.46	3.65	2.04	Watch
	3.45	3.6	2.03
	3.53	3.82	2.01	Watch
	3.35	3.55	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3)	3.62 ↑ (3.55)	2.01 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
27.2%

Draw
26%

Castellón
46.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31%

26.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

25.5%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Las Palmas - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Caro J. (G) 25. Pezzolesi V. 4. Alex Suarez 15. Herzog J. 23. Rodriguez A. 11. Miyashiro T. 26. Bassinga A. 6. Gonzalez I. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 24. Ivan Jaime 7. Betancor J.	13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 4. Sienra A. 14. Cordoba I. 18. Santiago P. 8. Barri 6. Orozco M. 21. Alvaro 16. Jakobsen A. 10. Suero I.
Substitutes
16. Acimovic M. 21. Bonfanti G. 32. Cruz R. 14. Fuster M. 10. Jese 12. Loiodice E. 30. Medina I. 43. Mogedano E. (G) 3. Opoku N. 44. Rodriguez A. 29. Romero E. 35. Suarez A. (G)	12. Alcazar L. 19. Bellari H. 11. Ceccherini F. 27. Gala A. 23. Garcia A. 15. Kostis I. 24. Muale Nzanza D. 1. Saipi A. (G) 7. Sanchez R. 20. Tincho 25. Vlak J. 30. Willman M.
Coaches
Rodriguez J. M.	Hernandez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Alex Suarez 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Suero I. ⚽,
20', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
22', 0 - 2, Sienra A. ⚽, Santiago P. (A),
26', Gonzalez I. ↓, Loiodice E. ↑,
44', Ivan Jaime 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jimenez A. ↓, Kostis I. ↑,
46', Rodriguez K. ↓, Romero E. ↑,
49', Orozco M. 🟨,
54', 0 - 3, Santiago P. ⚽,
55', Bassinga A. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
56', Betancor J. ↓, Acimovic M. ↑,
58', Orozco M. ↓, Vlak J. ↑,
70', Miyashiro T. ↓, Jese ↑,
72', Herzog J. 🟨,
75', Suero I. ↓, Muale Nzanza D. ↑,
83', Romero E. 🟨,
83', Jakobsen A. ↓, Willman M. ↑,
83', Santiago P. ↓, Tincho ↑,
87', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
88', Jese 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 16th and 3rd in the Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).

Recent results have been tough for Las Palmas (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Castellón shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Castellón is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Las Palmas: Arvelo A. (Coach's decision) Cedeno E. (Hamstring Injury) Clemente E. (Injury) Garcia A. (Thigh Injury) Marvin (Injury) Ramirez S. (Injury) Recoba J. (Injury) Ruiz S. (Injury) Viti Rozada (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Castellón: Brignani F. (Injury) Camara O. (Injury) Castillo F. (Injury) Juanjo Nieto (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Castellón: Vlak J. (Ankle Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Las Palmas has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Las Palmas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Castellon	11	8	2	1	22:4	18	26
14	Las Palmas	11	4	2	5	14:19	-5	14

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Castellon: 16.74% Las Palmas: 1.43%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.26	Mallorca - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Eibar - Las Palmas	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Cádiz - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLW
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.26	FC Andorra - Castellón	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Castellón - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
28.09.26	Leganés - Castellón	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Castellón - Tenerife	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Girona - Castellón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.26	Las Palmas - Castellón	1:1
30.11.25	Castellón - Las Palmas	1:0
27.02.21	Castellón - Las Palmas	4:0
21.10.20	Las Palmas - Castellón	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.19	Castellón - Las Palmas	0:2

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