Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Las Palmas		Castellón

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.45	2.15
	3.06	3.69	2.25
	2.95	3.55	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	2.19 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
31.2%

Draw
26.2%

Castellón
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

26.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.3%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 2nd in the Promotion - LaLiga).

In recent outings, Las Palmas has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Castellón is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Castellón is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Las Palmas has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Las Palmas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	15:3	12	20
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
04.10.26	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Eibar - Las Palmas	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Cádiz - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Las Palmas - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWT
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.26	FC Andorra - Castellón	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Castellón - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
28.09.26	Leganés - Castellón	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Castellón - Tenerife	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Girona - Castellón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.26	Las Palmas - Castellón	1:1
30.11.25	Castellón - Las Palmas	1:0
27.02.21	Castellón - Las Palmas	4:0
21.10.20	Las Palmas - Castellón	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.19	Castellón - Las Palmas	0:2

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