Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 28

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Leonesa		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
	2.98	3.05	2.4	Watch
	3.12	3.1	2.58
	3.02	3.13	2.48	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.45
	3.1	3.1	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.48)	3.07 ↓ (3.32)	2.43 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
30.9%

Draw
30.5%

Las Palmas
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.5%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.8%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Palmas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Palmas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	14.3%	50%

Leonesa - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Las Palmas (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 50%). Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 2. Rodriguez P. 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 17. Calero I. 28. Ojeda T. 6. Maestre S. (C) 11. Moreno V. 15. Ribeiro L. 10. Chacon L.	1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 6. Sergio Barcia 3. Marmol M. 5. Clemente E. 17. Viti 16. Amatucci L. 12. Loiodice E. (C) 18. Miyashiro T. 14. Fuster M. 10. Jese
Substitutes
12. Al Amin H. 1. Banuz M. (G) 14. Bicho 7. Collado D. 23. Diallo Selu M. 5. Fornos Q. 9. Justo M. 22. Radoja N. 16. Ribeiro T. 4. Rodri Suarez 3. Satrustegui E. 19. Sobrino R.	4. Alex Suarez 7. Benedetti N. 49. Bravo I. 13. Caro J. (G) 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 15. Herzog J. 39. Pedrola E. 19. Ramirez S. 20. Rodriguez K. 35. Suarez A. (G) 21. Viera J.
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Marvin 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 0 - 1, Marmol M. ⚽, Fuster M. (A),
52', Maestre S. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Fuster M. ⚽, Jese (A),
61', Maestre S. ↓, Bicho ↑,
61', Ojeda T. ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
62', Garcia V. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
64', Diallo Selu M. 🟨,
72', Fuster M. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
74', Bicho 🟨,
82', Clemente E. 🟨,
85', Moreno V. 🟨,
85', Sergio Barcia 🟨,
88', Jese ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
88', Moreno V. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
89', Clemente E. ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 3, Ramirez S. ⚽,
90+2', Marvin ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
90+3', Amatucci L. ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
90+4', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
90+7', Miyashiro T. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Recent form of Leonesa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Leonesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Las Palmas might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Alex Suarez (Back Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.26	Leganés - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Leonesa - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Málaga - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
26.01.26	Ceuta - Leonesa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLLL
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.26	Las Palmas - Castellón	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mirandés - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Real Sociedad B - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Las Palmas - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.25	Las Palmas - Leonesa	4:0

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