Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)


	Real Oviedo		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4
	1.95	3	4.6
	1.92	3.1	4.2
	1.98	3.18	4.79
				Watch
	1.95	3.16	4.33	Watch
	1.95	3.15	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.59)	3.13 ↓ (3.6)	4.42 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
48.6%

Draw
30.1%

Ibiza
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

26.1%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

25.3%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oviedo's form might have worsened.

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ibiza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Oviedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ibiza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	13%	30.4%

Real Oviedo - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Ibiza will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Oviedo has the most likely position - 6 (6.85%), has project points - 62, has currently - 8, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (9.95%), has project points - 48, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, small importance 30, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Oviedo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ibiza is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Oviedo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
10.09.22	Burgos - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
05.09.22	Real Oviedo - Levante	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Racing Santander - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Real Oviedo - Leganés	1:0 ✺
15.08.22	Real Oviedo - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWWL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
11.09.22	Ibiza - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Huesca - Ibiza	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Ibiza - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
22.08.22	Ponferradina - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Ibiza - Granada	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.05.22	Real Oviedo - Ibiza	3:2
18.09.21	Ibiza - Real Oviedo	1:1

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