Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	20:30	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	19:30	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	Lexington		Tulsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.60	4.50
	1.65	3.65	4.5
	1.68	3.9	5.24
	1.67	3.84	4.79	Watch
	1.62	3.75	5.1
	1.64	3.65	4.5	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.74)	3.73 ↓ (3.79)	4.73 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lexington
55.9%

Draw
24.7%

Tulsa
19.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53%

24.4%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

23.6%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Lexington - Tulsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lexington will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tulsa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Semmle O. (G) 12. Zengue X. 5. Burks K. 23. Brown J. 2. Greene J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 34. Fry M. 8. Nick Firmino 7. Epps M. 9. Goodrum P.	28. Jacomen D. (G) 44. Sangwa J. 91. Cissoko A. (C) 15. Batista L. 66. Wilson W. 8. Webber J. 2. Damm O. 6. Diallo B. 23. Eisner W. 9. Ordonez A. 14. Dorsey L.
Substitutes
40. Addams G. (G) 14. Caborn A. 21. Muir M. 27. Rodrigues B. P. 19. Scott T. 98. Seagrist P. 31. Thompson B. (G) 13. Tschantret M. 20. Yosef M.	7. Cabral R. 20. Colli G. 13. Kocevski J. 22. Lukic S. 4. Pierre D. 12. Stauffer L. 1. Tambakis A. (G)
Coaches
Hemmi M.	Spencer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wilson W. ↓, Kocevski J. ↑,
61', Nick Firmino ↓, Rodrigues B. P. ↑,
67', Ordonez A. ↓, Colli G. ↑,
75', Fry M. ↓, Yosef M. ↑,
76', Dorsey L. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
76', Diallo B. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
86', Webber J. ↓, Pierre D. ↑,
90+1', Kocevski J. 🟨,
90+1', Goodrum P. 🟨,

Preview

Lexington is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Tulsa has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lexington could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Lexington for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Lexington in today's match, at odds of 1.69.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Lexington has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:5 (averaging 0:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lexington against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL Championship
03.10.26	Lexington - El Paso Locomotive	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Monterey Bay - Lexington	2:3 ✺
19.09.26	Lexington - Orange County SC	6:0 ✺
12.09.26	Oakland Roots - Lexington	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Lexington	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
03.10.26	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
30.09.26	Tulsa - New Mexico United	1:0 ✺
25.09.26	El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Brooklyn - Tulsa	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Phoenix Rising - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
25.07.26	Tulsa - Lexington	0:0
04.10.25	Tulsa - Lexington	3:0
18.05.25	Lexington - Tulsa	0:2

Upcoming Matches