The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lexington 51.5%
Draw 24.5%
El Paso Locomotive 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
25.2%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
25.9%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lexington's performance.
El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Lexington - El Paso Locomotive Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Semmle O. (G) 12. Zengue X. 5. Burks K. 23. Brown J. 2. Greene J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 34. Fry M. 8. Nick Firmino 7. Epps M. 9. Goodrum P.
99. Romero A. (G) 29. Hoban K. 25. Ortiz A. 93. Tony Alfaro 12. Ruiz R. 30. Coronado R. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 16. Gabriel Torres 19. Mendez A. 13. Avila R. 10. Moreno A.
Substitutes
40. Addams G. (G) 14. Caborn A. 21. Muir M. 27. Rodrigues B. P. 19. Scott T. 98. Seagrist P. 31. Thompson B. (G) 13. Tschantret M. 20. Yosef M.
33. Alphin R. (G) 23. Diaz G. 91. Fernandez C. 5. Gomez D. 28. Mora O. 18. Quezada A. 21. Twumasi K.
Coaches
Hemmi M.
Gonzalez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Gabriel Torres ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
24', Ortiz A. 🟥,
32', 1 - 0, Zengue X. ⚽, Fry M. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Moreno A. ⚽, Avila R. (A),
45+2', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Nick Firmino ↓, Rodrigues B. P. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Ferri B. (A),
64', Greene J. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Rodrigues B. P. ⚽,
67', Coronado R. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
67', Hoban K. ↓, Twumasi K. ↑,
69', Fry M. ↓, Yosef M. ↑,
70', Greene J. ↓, Muir M. ↑,
82', Mendez A. ↓, Mora O. ↑,
82', Avila R. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
83', Goodrum P. ↓, Scott T. ↑,
83', Ferri B. ↓, Tschantret M. ↑,
Preview
El Paso is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In recent outings, Lexington has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
El Paso is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Lexington may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lexington holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Lexington has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 2:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lexington against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
North-central-america
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Semmle O. (G) 
Zengue X. 
Brown J. 
Greene J. 
Molloy A. (C) 
Nick Firmino 
Romero A. (G) 
Calvillo E. (C) 
Muir M. 
Rodrigues B. P. 
Hemmi M. 
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