The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carpi 52%
Draw 28.5%
Perugia 19.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
28.6%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
27.4%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carpi's performance.
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Perugia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-21.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carpi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+22%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perugia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carpi - Perugia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Perugia (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Perugia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 11. Casarini F. 7. Cecotti T. 72. Cortesi M. 5. Figoli M. 6. Panelli T. 29. Rosetti M. 19. Rossini M. 23. Sall A. 2. Verza N. 4. Zagnoni D.
1. Gemello L. (G) 26. Calapai L. 30. Giardino C. 98. Giraudo F. 6. Giunti G. 7. Kanoute M. 77. Manzari G. 32. Megelaitis L. 71. Rondolini P. 24. Torrasi E. 31. Tozzuolo A.
Substitutes
70. Arcopinto A. 20. Forte R. 17. Lombardi L. 18. Mahrani Y. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 80. Pietra N. 33. Pitti E. 3. Rigo M. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 10. Stanzani L. 16. Tcheuna R. 15. Toure M. 77. Visani R.
11. Bacchin L. 16. Bartolomei P. 21. Broh J. 33. Brunori G. 4. Joselito 10. Matos 9. Montevago D. 12. Moro L. (G) 99. Nwanege K. 29. Ogunseye R. 17. Terrnava D. 20. Tumbarello G. 3. Yabre M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Rossini M. ⚽,
27', Rondolini P. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Casarini F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Manzari G. ↓, Terrnava D. ↑,
46', Rondolini P. ↓, Bartolomei P. ↑,
46', Verza N. ↓, Rigo M. ↑,
50', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
59', Cortesi M. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
59', Rosetti M. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
64', Giardino C. ↓, Montevago D. ↑,
65', Giraudo F. ↓, Yabre M. ↑,
73', Calapai L. ↓, Matos ↑,
74', Rossini M. 🟨,
76', Figoli M. ↓, Lombardi L. ↑,
82', Casarini F. ↓, Forte R. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 1.
Carpi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Perugia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
Italy
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Sorzi M. (G) 
Sall A. 
Megelaitis L. 
Joselito 
Matos 
Nwanege K. 
Terrnava D. 
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