Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Laval		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.4
	1.85	3.25	4.35
	1.81	3.4	4.1
	1.83	3.53	4.9
	1.83	3.3	4.4	Watch
	1.8	3.54	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.98)	3.45 ↑ (3.32)	4.44 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laval
51.7%

Draw
27.2%

Niort
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

27.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	18.2%	22.7%

Laval - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Niort will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Laval: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Laval has the most likely position - 16 (8.92%), has project points - 45, has currently - 14, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (31.64%), has project points - 35, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 25, importance 43, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Laval won 1.

Laval is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Niort is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Laval is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Laval won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Laval won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Laval
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Orvault - Laval	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
22.10.22	Paris FC - Laval	0:0 ✺
15.10.22	Laval - Caen	4:0 ✺
08.10.22	Grenoble - Laval	3:2 ✺
03.10.22	Laval - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWLL
- Chamois Niortais FC
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Écureuils Mérignac-Arlac - Niort	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
22.10.22	Niort - Dijon	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Niort - Grenoble	0:3 ✺
08.10.22	Caen - Niort	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Niort - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.18	Niort - Laval	1:0
French Ligue 2
13.01.17	Niort - Laval	2:2
05.08.16	Laval - Niort	1:1
29.01.16	Laval - Niort	0:0
28.08.15	Niort - Laval	0:1
22.05.15	Niort - Laval	0:3
01.08.14	Laval - Niort	1:1

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