Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Niort		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.1	3.2	2.21
	3.38	3.22	2.32
	3.25	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.32	3.34	2.17	Watch
	3.15	3.25	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.96)	3.21 ↑ (3.07)	2.23 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
29.1%

Draw
29%

Guingamp
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

30.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

29.9%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	6.7%	76.7%

Niort - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Guingamp will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 5).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (21.23%), has project points - 37, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Guingamp has the most likely position - 1 (14.85%), has project points - 65, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (15%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 47, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 2.

Niort has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guingamp is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guingamp will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Niort won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
17.09.22	Amiens - Niort	3:0 ✺
10.09.22	Niort - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Quevilly - Niort	3:3 ✺
30.08.22	Niort - Valenciennes	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Sochaux - Niort	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTLL
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
17.09.22	Guingamp - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
12.09.22	Metz - Guingamp	3:6 ✺
30.08.22	Guingamp - Sochaux	1:2 ✺
27.08.22	Bordeaux - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Caen - Guingamp	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.07.22	Guingamp - Niort	3:1
French Ligue 2
26.02.22	Guingamp - Niort	1:0
18.09.21	Niort - Guingamp	2:0
15.05.21	Niort - Guingamp	0:2
22.08.20	Guingamp - Niort	0:1
18.10.19	Niort - Guingamp	0:0
Coupe De France
06.01.18	Guingamp - Niort	1:0

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