Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Niort		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.8	Watch
	2.1	3	3.75
	2.15	2.95	3.7
	2.12	2.95	3.6
	2.22	3.06	3.9
	2.15	2.88	3.7	Watch
	2.12	3.06	3.82	Watch
	2.12	2.95	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.54)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)	3.73 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
43.7%

Draw
31.3%

Grenoble
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

31.4%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Niort's performance.

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grenoble might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niort than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Niort that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grenoble could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	30.8%	23.1%

Niort - Grenoble Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Grenoble will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Niort: 27% – 65.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 8).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (25.68%), has project points - 36, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (55%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Grenoble has the most likely position - 11 (8.02%), has project points - 51, has currently - 16, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 26, importance 32, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 1.

Niort is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Grenoble is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Niort will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Niort won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
08.10.22	Caen - Niort	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Niort - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Amiens - Niort	3:0 ✺
10.09.22	Niort - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Quevilly - Niort	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLT
- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
08.10.22	Grenoble - Laval	3:2 ✺
01.10.22	Saint-Étienne - Grenoble	2:2 ✺
17.09.22	Grenoble - Caen	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Grenoble - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
02.09.22	Amiens - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
15.02.22	Grenoble - Niort	1:0
14.08.21	Niort - Grenoble	1:0
27.02.21	Grenoble - Niort	1:1
15.12.20	Niort - Grenoble	0:0
14.02.20	Grenoble - Niort	3:1
13.09.19	Niort - Grenoble	0:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
27.08.19	Niort - Grenoble	1:0 penalties

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