Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Fotboll
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Lazio		Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5.25
	1.61	4	5.25
	1.62	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.64	4.15	5.57
	1.64	4.13	5.57
	1.57	4.2	5
	1.61	4.2	5.4
	1.62	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.51)	4.14 ↓ (4.4)	5.37 ↓ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
59.1%

Draw
23.1%

Celtic
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21.5%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

22.7%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.6%	5.2%	5.2%

Lazio - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (69 of 77 users predict this - 89.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.79% – 96.43%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 4. Patric 34. Gila M. 77. Marusic A. 8. Guendouzi M. 65. Rovella N. 10. Luis Alberto (C) 18. Isaksen G. 19. Castellanos T. 7. Felipe Anderson	1. Hart J. (G) 2. Johnston A. 20. Carter-Vickers C. 5. Scales L. 3. Taylor G. 33. O'Riley M. 42. McGregor C. (C) 28. Bernardo P. 49. Forrest J. 8. Furuhashi K. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun
Substitutes
32. Cataldi D. 23. Hysaj E. 17. Immobile C. 6. Kamada D. 53. Magro F. (G) 9. Pedro 3. Pellegrini Lu. 60. Ruggeri F. 33. Sepe L. (G)	29. Bain S. (G) 68. Frame M. 15. Holm O. T. 90. Johnston M. 4. Lagerbielke G. 43. Morrison J. (G) 19. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 6. Phillips N. 56. Ralston A. 14. Turnbull D. 57. Welsh S.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Rodgers B.

Preview

Recent matches Lazio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Celtic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lazio is a favorite.

There will not play in Lazio: Casale N. (Muscle Injury) Romagnoli A. (Calf Injury) Vecino M. (Yellow Cards) Zaccagni M. (Injury)

There will not play in Celtic: Abada L. (Thigh Injury) Hatate R. (Muscle Injury) Maeda D. (Red Card) McCarthy J. (Muscle Injury) Palma L. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Lazio: Provedel I. (Injury) Rovella N. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lazio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
25.11.23	Salernitana - Lazio	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Lazio - Roma	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.11.23	Lazio - Feyenoord	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.11.23	Bologna - Lazio	1:0 ✺
30.10.23	Lazio - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWLW
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
25.11.23	Celtic - Motherwell	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Celtic - Aberdeen	6:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.11.23	Atlético Madrid - Celtic	6:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
04.11.23	Ross County - Celtic	0:3 ✺
01.11.23	Celtic - St. Mirren	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
04.10.23	Celtic - Lazio	1:2
UEFA Europa League
07.11.19	Lazio - Celtic	1:2
24.10.19	Celtic - Lazio	2:1

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