Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Golf
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Atlético Madrid		Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7
	1.39	5	7.5
	1.41	5.35	7.3	Watch
	1.39	5.32	8.25
	1.38	5.32	8.23
	1.33	5	8
	1.37	5.15	8.3
	1.39	5.4	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)	5.19 ↓ (5.35)	7.81 ↓ (8.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
69.3%

Draw
18.4%

Celtic
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

17.7%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

17.2%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.2%	2.3%	4.5%

Atlético Madrid - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (82 of 88 users predict this - 93.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.91% – 98.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 16. Molina N. 2. Gimenez J. M. 20. Witsel A. 22. Hermoso M. 25. Riquelme R. 24. Barrios P. 6. Koke (C) 7. Griezmann A. 19. Morata A. 10. Correa A.	1. Hart J. (G) 2. Johnston A. 20. Carter-Vickers C. 5. Scales L. 3. Taylor G. 28. Bernardo P. 42. McGregor C. (C) 33. O'Riley M. 7. Palma L. 8. Furuhashi K. 38. Maeda D.
Substitutes
3. Azpilicueta C. 17. Galan J. 31. Gomis A. (G) 1. Grbic I. (G) 12. Lino S. 14. Llorente M. 8. Niguez S. 15. Savic S. 4. Soyuncu C.	29. Bain S. (G) 49. Forrest J. 15. Holm O. T. 24. Iwata T. 90. Johnston M. 4. Lagerbielke G. 19. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 6. Phillips N. 56. Ralston A. 14. Turnbull D. 57. Welsh S. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun
Coaches
Simeone D.	Rodgers B.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Celtic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Lemar T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mandava R. (Knee Injury) Vitolo (Knee Injury) de Paul R. (Red Card)

There will not play in Celtic: Abada L. (Thigh Injury) Hatate R. (Muscle Injury) McCarthy J. (Muscle Injury) Tilio M. (Injury) Welsh S. (Ankle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
03.11.23	Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.10.23	Celtic - Atlético Madrid	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
21.10.23	Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWW
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
04.11.23	Ross County - Celtic	0:3 ✺
01.11.23	Celtic - St. Mirren	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Hibernian - Celtic	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.10.23	Celtic - Atlético Madrid	2:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
22.10.23	Hearts - Celtic	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
25.10.23	Celtic - Atlético Madrid	2:2

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