Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 13

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Sport


	Salernitana		Lazio

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.82
	4.3	3.45	1.88	Watch
	4.7	3.51	1.88
	4.66	3.67	1.89
	4.5	3.6	1.73
	4.7	3.6	1.81	Watch
	4.7	3.55	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (4.49)	3.55 ↓ (3.7)	1.84 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
20.9%

Draw
27%

Lazio
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.6%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

25.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Salernitana aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.6%	8.9%	71.4%

Salernitana - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 11 - 19.6%). Lazio will win (votes: 40 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 59.6% – 83.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Costil B. (G) 5. Daniliuc F. 23. Gyomber N. 98. Pirola L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 18. Coulibaly L. 8. Bohinen E. 3. Bradaric D. 87. Candreva A. (C) 20. Kastanos G. 22. Ikwuemesi C.	94. Provedel I. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 4. Patric 34. Gila M. 77. Marusic A. 8. Guendouzi M. 32. Cataldi D. 6. Kamada D. 7. Felipe Anderson 17. Immobile C. (C) 20. Zaccagni M.
Substitutes
11. Botheim E. 28. Bronn D. 17. Fazio F. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 21. Jovane 99. Legowski M. 66. Lovato M. 25. Maggiore G. 7. Martegani A. 65. Salvati G. (G) 6. Sambia J. 9. Simy	26. Basic T. 19. Castellanos T. 23. Hysaj E. 18. Isaksen G. 35. Mandas C. (G) 9. Pedro 3. Pellegrini Lu. 65. Rovella N. 46. Ruggeri F. 33. Sepe L. (G) 5. Vecino M.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Sarri M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Salernitana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lazio is a favorite.

There will not play in Salernitana: Ochoa G. (Shoulder Injury) Tchaouna L. (Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Luis Alberto (Yellow Cards) Vecino M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Casale N. (Muscle Injury) Zaccagni M. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
10.11.23	Sassuolo - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Salernitana - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
31.10.23	Salernitana - Sampdoria	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
27.10.23	Genoa - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Salernitana - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWLT
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
12.11.23	Lazio - Roma	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.11.23	Lazio - Feyenoord	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.11.23	Bologna - Lazio	1:0 ✺
30.10.23	Lazio - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.10.23	Feyenoord - Lazio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
19.02.23	Salernitana - Lazio	0:2
30.10.22	Lazio - Salernitana	1:3
15.01.22	Salernitana - Lazio	0:3
07.11.21	Lazio - Salernitana	3:0

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