Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 28

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Hungary	Sport 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Cagliari		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.33
	1.85	3.55	4.4	Watch
	1.87	3.6	4.66
	1.87	3.57	4.66
	1.75	3.6	4.75
	1.86	3.83	4.61	Watch
	1.86	3.55	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)	3.59 ↓ (3.69)	4.51 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cagliari
52%

Draw
26.7%

Salernitana
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

23.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cagliari that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	17.9%	20.5%

Cagliari - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 24 - 61.5%). Salernitana will win (votes: 8 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 46.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Scuffet S. (G) 28. Zappa G. 26. Mina Y. 4. Dossena A. 27. Augello T. 29. Makoumbou A. 14. Deiola A. (C) 8. Nandez N. 70. Gaetano G. 21. Jankto J. 9. Lapadula G.	13. Ochoa G. (G) 59. Zanoli A. 44. Manolas K. 17. Fazio F. (C) 3. Bradaric D. 18. Coulibaly L. 25. Maggiore G. 20. Kastanos G. 87. Candreva A. 14. Weissman S. 33. Tchaouna L.
Substitutes
18. Aresti S. (G) 37. Azzi P. 99. Di Pardo A. 17. Hatzidiakos P. 34. Mutandwa K. 33. Obert A. 19. Oristanio G. 16. Prati M. 1. Radunovic B. (G) 61. Shomurodov E. 10. Viola N. 23. Wieteska M.	62. Allocca P. (G) 26. Basic T. 56. Costil B. (G) 41. Ferrari T. 11. Gomis I. 22. Ikwuemesi C. 99. Legowski M. 7. Martegani A. 4. Pasalidis T. 24. Pellegrino M. 98. Pirola L. 6. Sambia J. 9. Simy 55. Vignato E.
Coaches
Ranieri C.	Liverani F.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Recent matches Cagliari is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salernitana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cagliari is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
03.03.24	Empoli - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Cagliari - Napoli	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Udinese - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Cagliari - Lazio	1:3 ✺
05.02.24	Roma - Cagliari	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTTLL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
02.03.24	Udinese - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Salernitana - Monza	0:2 ✺
16.02.24	Inter Milan - Salernitana	4:0 ✺
09.02.24	Salernitana - Empoli	1:3 ✺
04.02.24	Torino - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.10.23	Salernitana - Cagliari	2:2
08.05.22	Salernitana - Cagliari	1:1
26.11.21	Cagliari - Salernitana	1:1
Italian Serie B
14.05.16	Cagliari - Salernitana	3:0
24.12.15	Salernitana - Cagliari	0:2

Upcoming Matches