Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	14:45	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	19:45	Ring, Voyo
Canada	13:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 7
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	18:45	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 253
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	11:45	Claro Sports
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Sport 3
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 3
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
Turkey	20:45	beIN Sports 4, Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	13:45	beIN Sports 4, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+, VIX App


	Lazio		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.25
	1.42	4.75	7.25
	1.52	4.5	6	Watch
	1.52	4.5	6.33
	1.55	4.09	6.26	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6
	1.54	4.44	6.68
	1.55	4.55	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.35)	4.44 ↓ (5.04)	6.36 ↓ (9.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
63.3%

Draw
21.6%

Viktoria Plzeň
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.8%

19%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

18.4%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lazio's form might have worsened.

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viktoria Plzeň, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	2.1%	10.4%

Lazio - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (39 of 43 users predict this - 90.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.02% – 99.38%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 4. Patric 13. Romagnoli A. 30. Tavares N. 8. Guendouzi M. 5. Vecino M. 18. Isaksen G. 9. Pedro 10. Zaccagni M. (C) 11. Castellanos T.	16. Jedlicka M. (G) 40. Dweh S. 3. Markovic S. 21. Jemelka V. 22. Cadu 31. Sulc P. 23. Kalvach L. (C) 6. Cerv L. 11. Vydra M. 17. Durosinmi R. 99. Memic A.
Substitutes
7. Dele-Bashiru F. 19. Dia B. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 34. Gila M. 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 20. Tchaouna L.	80. Adu P. K. 30. Baier V. (G) 14. Doski M. 2. Hejda L. 10. Kopic J. 5. Paluska J. 20. Panos J. 12. Sojka A. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 32. Valenta M.
Coaches
Baroni M.	Koubek M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Dweh S. 🟨,
4', Marusic A. 🟨,
40', Durosinmi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Sulc P. ⚽, Durosinmi R. (A),
67', Castellanos T. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
67', Tavares N. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
69', Vecino M. 🟨,
72', Durosinmi R. ↓, Adu P. K. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Romagnoli A. ⚽, Zaccagni M. (A),
78', Cadu ↓, Doski M. ↑,
78', Vydra M. ↓, Sojka A. ↑,
79', Patric ↓, Gila M. ↑,
79', Pedro ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
86', Kalvach L. ↓, Panos J. ↑,
86', Memic A. ↓, Kopic J. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Plzeň could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lazio have a series of guest games.

In this match Lazio is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Lazio: Castellanos T. (Thigh Injury) Gigot S. (Red Card) Hysaj E. (Thigh Injury) Pellegrini Lu. (Inactive) Rovella N. (Red Card)

There will not play in Plzeň: Havel M. (Illness) Kabongo C. (Knee Injury) Sene C. (Inactive) Souare C. (Injury) Vasulin D. (Illness)

There are questionable in Lazio: Tavares N. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lazio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
10.03.25	Lazio - Udinese	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Lazio	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.03.25	Milan - Lazio	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.02.25	Inter Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.02.25	Venezia - Lazio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWLT
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
09.03.25	Pardubice - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Lazio	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
02.03.25	Mladá Boleslav - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2 ✺
Czech Cup
27.02.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Zlín	4:1 ET ✺
Czech 1 Liga
23.02.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Slavia Prague	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Lazio	1:2

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