Match Info

Serie A - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2, DAZN
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football


	Milan		Lazio

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.7	5.4	Watch
	1.69	3.8	5.79
	1.63	4.00	5.27	Watch
	1.71	3.87	5.77
	1.64	3.75	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)	3.81 ↓ (4)	5.57 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
57.6%

Draw
25.2%

Lazio
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.8%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	7.7%	11.5%

Milan - Lazio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Milan (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Milan (1.16) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milan will win (40 of 50 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.91% – 91.09%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milan will win (21 of 27 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Lazio (votes: 7 - 23.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 23. Tomori F. 46. Gabbia M. 31. Pavlovic S. 56. Saelemaekers A. 19. Fofana Y. 14. Modric L. 12. Rabiot A. 33. Bartesaghi D. 18. Nkunku C. 10. Leao R.	94. Provedel I. (G) 3. Pellegrini Lu. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 77. Marusic A. 8. Guendouzi M. 5. Vecino M. 26. Basic T. 18. Isaksen G. 19. Dia B. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)
Substitutes
5. De Winter K. 2. Estupinan P. 30. Jashari A. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 27. Odogu D. 37. Pittarella M. (G) 4. Ricci S. 1. Terracciano P. (G)	21. Belahyane R. 11. Castellanos T. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 9. Pedro 25. Provstgaard O. 17. Tavares N.
Coaches
Allegri M.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Tomori F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Leao R. ⚽, Tomori F. (A),
57', Pellegrini Lu. 🟨,
62', Vecino M. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
62', Dia B. ↓, Castellanos T. ↑,
64', Gabbia M. 🟨,
65', Fofana Y. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
70', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
72', Romagnoli A. 🟨,
82', Nkunku C. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
85', Basic T. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
85', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Tavares N. ↑,
89', Ricci S. 🟨,
90+7', Allegri M. 🟥,
90+13', Zaccagni M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Milan is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Athekame Z. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Pulisic C. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Cancellieri M. (Muscle Injury) Cataldi D. (Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Hysaj E. (Inactive) Rovella N. (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
23.11.25	Inter Milan - Milan	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Parma - Milan	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Milan - Roma	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Atalanta - Milan	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Milan - Pisa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWTT
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
23.11.25	Lazio - Lecce	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Inter Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Lazio - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Pisa - Lazio	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lazio - Juventus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
02.03.25	Milan - Lazio	1:2
31.08.24	Lazio - Milan	2:2
01.03.24	Lazio - Milan	0:1
30.09.23	Milan - Lazio	2:0
06.05.23	Milan - Lazio	2:0
24.01.23	Lazio - Milan	4:0
24.04.22	Lazio - Milan	1:2

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