Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bangladesh	00:45	Begin
Belarus	21:45	Sport TV
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	01:45	MyTV
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	13:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN 2
Finland	21:45	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Arena 4
India	00:15	ZEE5
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Iraq	21:45	Almanasa
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	21:45	Shasha
Macao	02:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	23:45	ICE Plus
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	12:45	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	06:45	beIN Connect, DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN 2
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	21:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	21:45	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Suriname	15:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	01:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	19:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	21:45	S Sport 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Venezia		Lazio

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.50	1.95
	3.75	3.50	1.95
	3.85	3.50	1.90	Watch
	4.03	3.55	2.04
	3.55	3.59	2.05	Watch
	3.95	3.50	1.99
	4.20	3.54	1.92
	3.85	3.70	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (2.94)	3.55 ↑ (3.35)	1.97 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
24.6%

Draw
26.9%

Lazio
48.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.6%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

29.2%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Venezia's form might have worsened.

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lazio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Venezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lazio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.7%	93.3%

Venezia - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 55 - 93.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 86.8% – 99.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Venezia (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Lazio (2.05) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lazio will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lazio (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 15. Juan Jesus (C) 2. Moreno M. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 19. Sohm S. 21. Helgason T. J. 14. Correia T. 10. Yeboah J. 45. Adams A.	35. Mandas C. (G) 15. Floriani R. 37. Sutalo J. 25. Provstgaard O. 17. Tavares N. 16. Frattesi D. 21. Belahyane R. 24. Taylor K. 22. Cancellieri M. 14. Noslin T. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)
Substitutes
36. Berardi L. 8. Fanne L. 77. Fernandez T. 95. Gomes A. 25. Halhal R. 29. Lauberbach L. 56. Lisman K. 16. Mohammed R. 96. Montipo L. (G) 55. Panada S. 7. Rrahmani A. 20. Sagrado R.	32. Cataldi D. 5. Doekhi D. 71. Farcomeni V. 80. Gudmundsson A. 11. Isaksen G. 29. Lazzari M. 2. Leite D. 40. Motta E. (G) 23. Pedraza A. 9. Pinamonti A. 47. Renzetti D. (G) 63. Serra F.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Gattuso G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Yeboah J. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Perez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Zaccagni M. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Juan Jesus 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Noslin T. ⚽, Tavares N. (A),
73', Adams A. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
73', Helgason T. J. ↓, Fanne L. ↑,
74', Correia T. 🟨,
76', Correia T. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
77', Taylor K. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
77', Noslin T. ↓, Pinamonti A. ↑,
77', Floriani R. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
84', Tavares N. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
87', Zaccagni M. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
87', Yeboah J. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
90', Fernandez T. 🟨,
90+1', Schingtienne J. 🟨,
90+2', Moreno M. 🟨,

Preview

Venezia is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Lazio shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lazio may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Lazio is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Venezia: Adorante A. (Hernia) Basic T. (Foot Injury) Bella-Kotchap A. (Injury) Busio G. (Injury) Dagasso M. (Inactive) Franjic B. (Injury) Haps R. (Inactive) Sverko M. (Hip Injury).

Confirmed absences for Lazio: Dele-Bashiru F. (Muscle Injury) Furlanetto A. (Knee Injury) Patric (Ankle Injury) Pellegrini Lu. (Injury) Rovella N. (Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Lazio in today's match, at odds of 1.94.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Venezia has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Venezia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22:7	15	25
20	Venezia	9	1	0	8	6:19	-13	3

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lazio: 5.06% Venezia: 0.11%

Last Results with these Odds

Lazio - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.77%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
11.09.26	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
06.09.26	Frosinone - Venezia	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Udinese - Venezia	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.08.26	Milan - Venezia	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Venezia - Lecce	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Lazio - Milan	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Udinese - Lazio	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Lazio - Genoa	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Bologna - Lazio	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Lazio - Mantova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.02.25	Venezia - Lazio	0:0
18.08.24	Lazio - Venezia	3:1
14.03.22	Lazio - Venezia	1:0
22.12.21	Venezia - Lazio	1:3

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