Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Sport TV
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
India	ZEE5
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect, DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Venezia		Lazio

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.50	1.95
	3.75	3.50	1.95
	3.85	3.50	1.90	Watch
	4.03	3.55	2.04
	3.55	3.59	2.05	Watch
	3.95	3.50	1.99
	4.20	3.54	1.92
	3.85	3.70	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (2.94)	3.55 ↑ (3.35)	1.97 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
24.6%

Draw
26.9%

Lazio
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.6%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

29.6%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Venezia's form might have worsened.

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lazio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Venezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lazio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.7%	93.3%

Venezia - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 55 - 93.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 86.8% – 99.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Venezia (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Lazio (2.05) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lazio will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lazio (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 15. Juan Jesus (C) 2. Moreno M. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 19. Sohm S. 21. Helgason T. J. 14. Correia T. 10. Yeboah J. 45. Adams A.	35. Mandas C. (G) 15. Floriani R. 37. Sutalo J. 25. Provstgaard O. 17. Tavares N. 16. Frattesi D. 21. Belahyane R. 24. Taylor K. 22. Cancellieri M. 14. Noslin T. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)
Substitutes
36. Berardi L. 8. Fanne L. 77. Fernandez T. 95. Gomes A. 25. Halhal R. 29. Lauberbach L. 56. Lisman K. 16. Mohammed R. 96. Montipo L. (G) 55. Panada S. 7. Rrahmani A. 20. Sagrado R.	32. Cataldi D. 5. Doekhi D. 71. Farcomeni V. 80. Gudmundsson A. 11. Isaksen G. 29. Lazzari M. 2. Leite D. 40. Motta E. (G) 23. Pedraza A. 9. Pinamonti A. 47. Renzetti D. (G) 63. Serra F.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Gattuso G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Yeboah J. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Perez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Zaccagni M. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Juan Jesus 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Noslin T. ⚽, Tavares N. (A),
73', Adams A. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
73', Helgason T. J. ↓, Fanne L. ↑,
74', Correia T. 🟨,
76', Correia T. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
77', Taylor K. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
77', Noslin T. ↓, Pinamonti A. ↑,
77', Floriani R. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
84', Tavares N. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
87', Zaccagni M. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
87', Yeboah J. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
90', Fernandez T. 🟨,
90+1', Schingtienne J. 🟨,
90+2', Moreno M. 🟨,

Preview

Venezia is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Lazio shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lazio may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Lazio is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Venezia: Adorante A. (Hernia) Basic T. (Foot Injury) Bella-Kotchap A. (Injury) Busio G. (Injury) Dagasso M. (Inactive) Franjic B. (Injury) Haps R. (Inactive) Sverko M. (Hip Injury).

Confirmed absences for Lazio: Dele-Bashiru F. (Muscle Injury) Furlanetto A. (Knee Injury) Patric (Ankle Injury) Pellegrini Lu. (Injury) Rovella N. (Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Lazio in today's match, at odds of 1.94.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Venezia has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Venezia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lazio: 0.95% Venezia: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4:13	-9	0

Last Results with these Odds

Lazio - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.77%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
11.09.26	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
06.09.26	Frosinone - Venezia	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Udinese - Venezia	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.08.26	Milan - Venezia	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Venezia - Lecce	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Lazio - Milan	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Udinese - Lazio	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Lazio - Genoa	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Bologna - Lazio	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Lazio - Mantova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.02.25	Venezia - Lazio	0:0
18.08.24	Lazio - Venezia	3:1
14.03.22	Lazio - Venezia	1:0
22.12.21	Venezia - Lazio	1:3

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