Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports


	Le Havre		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.18	3.1	3.4
	2.21	3.05	3.25
	2.29	3.11	3.65
	2.2	3	3.4	Watch
	2.14	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.24	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.22)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	3.39 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
42.4%

Draw
30.1%

Bordeaux
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.7%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30.7%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.9%	21.7%	17.4%

Le Havre - Bordeaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Bordeaux will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (39.01%), has project points - 69, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (60%), has a chance of win league (39%).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 1 (23.64%), has project points - 66, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a chance of win league (24%).

This event has quality 43, very big importance 98, big match rating 71. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Le Havre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bordeaux is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bordeaux could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Le Havre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Lens - Le Havre	3:0 ✺
13.12.22	Le Havre - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
08.12.22	Hassania Agadir - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
12.11.22	Guingamp - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Quevilly - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWWW
- Girondins de Bordeaux
Club Friendly
16.12.22	Boavista - Bordeaux	0:2 ✺
10.12.22	Brentford - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
19.11.22	Trélissac - Bordeaux	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
12.11.22	Bordeaux - Pau	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	Nîmes - Bordeaux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Coupe de la Ligue
09.01.19	Bordeaux - Le Havre	1:0
Coupe De France
06.01.19	Bordeaux - Le Havre	0:1

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