Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 20

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Lens		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.75	7
	1.44	4.7	6.9	Watch
	1.44	4.8	7.56
	1.43	4.95	6.53	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.48	4.65	7.07	Watch
	1.46	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)	4.63 ↓ (4.84)	6.88 ↓ (7.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
65.7%

Draw
20.5%

Le Havre
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

19.5%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

18.3%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	17.2%	3.4%

Lens - Le Havre Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lens (1.68) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Le Havre (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lens will win (46 of 58 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.88% – 89.74%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 3.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 25. Ganiou I. 32. Antonio K. 20. Sarr M. 2. Aguilar R. 8. Sangare M. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 22. Said W. 11. Edouard O.	77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 93. Sangante A. (C) 29. Zagadou S. 15. Seko A. 7. Nego L. 26. Ebonog S. 19. Gourna-Douath L. 14. Ndiaye R. 18. Zouaoui Y. 17. Boufal S. 45. Soumare I.
Substitutes
23. Abdulhamid S. 26. Bermont A. 5. Bulatovic A. 4. Celik N. 38. Fofana R. 1. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F.	99. Diaw M. (G) 13. Doucoure F. 8. Kechta Y. 11. Kyeremeh G. 10. Mambimbi F. 78. Mosengo D. N. 20. Obougou N. 32. Pembele T. 33. Quetant K.
Coaches
Sage P.	Digard D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Aguilar R. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Boufal S. 🟨,
59', Sangante A. ↓, Mosengo D. N. ↑,
69', Boufal S. ↓, Obougou N. ↑,
70', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
75', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
78', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
78', Nego L. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
90+2', Ebonog S. ↓, Quetant K. ↑,
90+3', Zagadou S. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
90+5', Said W. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
90+5', Thauvin F. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
90+7', Antonio K. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 2.

Lens is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Le Havre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lens is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Lens: Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Guilavogui M. (Yellow Cards) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury) Jhoanner Chavez (Thigh Injury) Masuaku A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Le Havre: Lloris G. (Injury) Samatta A. (Knock) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Youte Kinkoue E. (Health problems) Zagadou S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Le Havre: Khadra R. (Shoulder Injury) Vinette E. K. (Shoulder Injury)

We predict that Lens will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lens won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:35. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lens: 2.52% Le Havre: 0.18%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Lens	6	2	1	3	11:10	1	7
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4:7	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
24.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Lens	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lens - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Sochaux - Lens	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.01.26	Toulouse - Lens	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Lens - Feignies Aulnoye	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
24.01.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Rennes - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Le Havre - Angers	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Le Havre - Amiens	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Lyon - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
24.08.25	Le Havre - Lens	1:2
01.03.25	Lens - Le Havre	3:4
12.01.25	Le Havre - Lens	1:2
06.04.24	Lens - Le Havre	1:1
20.10.23	Le Havre - Lens	0:0
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Lens - Le Havre	3:0
16.07.20	Lens - Le Havre	1:3

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