Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen)

Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Quevilly		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.9	Watch
	4.33	3.2	1.9
	4.1	3.1	1.93
	4.1	3.15	1.9
	4.78	3.24	1.93
	4.4	3.1	1.88	Watch
	4.6	3.38	1.83	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.44)	3.22 ↑ (3.16)	1.9 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quevilly
21.5%

Draw
29.1%

Le Havre
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

29.4%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.7%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quevilly's form might have worsened.

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Havre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Quevilly - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Quevilly will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Le Havre will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Quevilly has the most likely position - 18 (11.56%), has project points - 42, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (19.11%), has project points - 65, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has a chance of win league (19%).

This event has quality 31, importance 51, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Quevilly won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Quevilly have a series of guest games.

In this match Le Havre is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Quevilly won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Quevilly won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Quevilly
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Aubervilliers - Quevilly	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
22.10.22	Sochaux - Quevilly	2:2 ✺
15.10.22	Dijon - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Quevilly - Nîmes	3:1 ✺
01.10.22	Caen - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LTTWW
- Le Havre AC
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Alençon - Le Havre	4:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
24.10.22	Le Havre - Metz	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Rodez - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Le Havre - Bastia	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Dijon - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
05.03.22	Quevilly - Le Havre	0:2
21.09.21	Le Havre - Quevilly	1:0
Club Friendly
07.07.21	Quevilly - Le Havre	0:1
13.07.18	Le Havre - Quevilly	0:0
French Ligue 2
30.03.18	Le Havre - Quevilly	0:2
27.10.17	Quevilly - Le Havre	0:2

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