Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Legat P. (Fra)


	Le Havre		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4.1
	1.85	3.2	4.35
	1.98	3.2	4.61
	1.95	3.1	4.2
	1.96	3.28	4.15	Watch
	1.96	3.15	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	4.29 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
48.4%

Draw
29.7%

Guingamp
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

29.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

28.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Le Havre - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: Le Havre will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 10).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (84.49%), project points - 76, currently - 60, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (97%), a good chance of win league (84%).

Guingamp has the most likely position - 11 (16.23%), project points - 49, currently - 38, a very small chance of relegated (2%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 37, importance 47, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 1.

Le Havre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Guingamp is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Le Havre is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
01.04.23	Pau - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Le Havre - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
13.03.23	Metz - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Le Havre - Laval	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Grenoble - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTWT
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
03.04.23	Guingamp - Bordeaux	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Annecy - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Guingamp - Dijon	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Paris FC - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Guingamp - Caen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.12.22	Le Havre - Guingamp	1:2
French Ligue 2
12.11.22	Guingamp - Le Havre	0:1
14.05.22	Guingamp - Le Havre	2:1
24.07.21	Le Havre - Guingamp	0:0
23.01.21	Le Havre - Guingamp	1:1
12.09.20	Guingamp - Le Havre	1:3
25.11.19	Le Havre - Guingamp	4:0

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