Match Info

Date: 1 November 2021, Monday


	Lecce		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	7	Watch
	1.43	4.4	7
	1.43	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.1	6
	1.49	4.72	6.79
	1.42	4.2	8
	1.46	4.4	7.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)	4.38 ↓ (4.65)	6.94 ↓ (7.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
65%

Draw
21.5%

Nuova Cosenza
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

20.2%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.4%

17.4%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lecce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.8%	20.6%	17.6%

Lecce - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%). Cosenza will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 45.5% – 78.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lecce has the most likely position - 1 (13.88%), has project points - 63, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (36%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

Cosenza has the most likely position - 17 (12.23%), has project points - 43, has currently - 14, has a chance of relegated (37%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lecce is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Cosenza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lecce is absolute favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Lecce won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie B
28.10.21	Brescia - Lecce	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Lecce - Perugia	0:0 ✺
16.10.21	Ascoli - Lecce	1:1 ✺
01.10.21	Lecce - Monza	3:0 ✺
25.09.21	Cittadella - Lecce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTTWW
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
27.10.21	Nuova Cosenza - Ternana	3:1 ✺
23.10.21	Benevento - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
16.10.21	Nuova Cosenza - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	Alessandria - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
25.09.21	Nuova Cosenza - Crotone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.02.21	Lecce - Nuova Cosenza	3:1
25.10.20	Nuova Cosenza - Lecce	1:1
Club Friendly
07.09.19	Lecce - Nuova Cosenza	2:1
Italian Serie B
03.04.19	Lecce - Nuova Cosenza	3:1
10.11.18	Nuova Cosenza - Lecce	2:3
Italian Serie C Group C
19.03.18	Nuova Cosenza - Lecce	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.02.18	Lecce - Nuova Cosenza	0:2

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