Match Info

Date: 2 March 2021, Tuesday


	Lecce		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	6	Watch
	1.55	4	6
	1.52	4.1	6.3	Watch
	1.55	3.7	5.8
	1.57	4.01	6.82
	1.57	3.7	6.5
	1.58	3.94	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.63)	3.89 ↑ (3.77)	6.22 ↑ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
60.6%

Draw
24.3%

Virtus Entella
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

20.1%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lecce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.9%	13%	9.1%

Lecce - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 60 - 77.9%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 7 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 68.6% – 87.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Lecce has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (71%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Virtus Entella has a good chance of relegated (94%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Lecce is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virtus Entella has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Lecce is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lecce won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie B
27.02.21	Pescara - Lecce	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Lecce - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
13.02.21	Cremonese - Lecce	1:2 ✺
09.02.21	Lecce - Brescia	2:2 ✺
05.02.21	Lecce - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWTL
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
27.02.21	Virtus Entella - Brescia	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Venezia - Virtus Entella	3:2 ✺
14.02.21	Virtus Entella - Frosinone	2:3 ✺
10.02.21	Reggina - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Reggiana - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.11.20	Virtus Entella - Lecce	1:5
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
02.06.13	Lecce - Virtus Entella	2:1
26.05.13	Virtus Entella - Lecce	1:1
24.02.13	Virtus Entella - Lecce	2:2

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