The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reggiana 21.2%
Draw 27.8%
Lecce 51.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
29%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
19.7%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reggiana's form might have worsened.
Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lecce's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+22%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reggiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-22.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.3%
11.7%
70%
Reggiana - Lecce Predictions
Users Predictions:
60 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 11 - 18.3%). Lecce will win (votes: 42 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 58.4% – 81.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).
Reggiana has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lecce has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (70%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Recent matches Reggiana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lecce is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Reggiana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lecce is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Reggiana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Reggiana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.