Match Info

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday


	Genoa		Venezia

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.40	3.50
	2.05	3.50	3.60
	2.10	3.40	3.30
	2.17	3.45	3.83
	2.11	3.29	3.65	Watch
	2.11	3.15	3.75
	2.14	3.44	3.87
	2.06	3.45	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.09)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	3.63 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
45.4%

Draw
28.2%

Venezia
26.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.6%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

24.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Genoa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genoa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Genoa - Venezia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 17th and 20th in the Relegation - Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 3.

In recent outings, Genoa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Venezia is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Venezia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Genoa is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Genoa has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:9 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Genoa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Genoa	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	6:16	-10	3

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Genoa: 0.16% Venezia: 0.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Genoa - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 45.44%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
17.10.26	Roma - Genoa	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Rapid Bucureşti - Genoa	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Parma - Genoa	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.09.26	Genoa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
17.10.26	Venezia - Napoli	1:0 ✺
12.10.26	Atalanta - Venezia	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Venezia - Lazio	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
06.09.26	Frosinone - Venezia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
17.02.25	Genoa - Venezia	2:0
21.09.24	Venezia - Genoa	2:0
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Venezia - Genoa	1:3
22.07.23	Genoa - Venezia	1:4
Italian Serie B
16.01.23	Genoa - Venezia	1:0
14.08.22	Venezia - Genoa	1:2
Italian Serie A
20.02.22	Venezia - Genoa	1:1

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