Match Info

Serie A - Round 3

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Laola1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	Match 4
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Malta	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cagliari		Lecce

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.10	3.50
	2.20	3.00	3.60
	2.14	3.00	3.70	Watch
	2.34	3.10	3.72
	2.14	3.15	4.07	Watch
	2.25	3.00	3.70
	2.30	3.12	3.84
	2.30	3.10	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.2)	3.07 ↑ (3.06)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
42.9%

Draw
31.3%

Lecce
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

31.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

30.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	26.3%	0%

Cagliari - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lecce (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Lecce (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Lecce (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 2. Pedro J. 14. Deiola A. (C) 15. Rodriguez J. 33. Obert A. 8. Adopo M. 4. Romano A. 6. Winks H. 70. Maldini D. 10. Fazzini J. 31. Mendy P.	30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 4. Gaspar K. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 29. Coulibaly L. 79. Ngom O. 20. Ilic I. 50. Pierotti S. 9. Stulic N. 99. Monteiro J.
Substitutes
30. Akarakiri A. 24. Aurelio G. 20. Ciervo R. 39. Fadera A. 17. Felici M. 21. Gagliardini R. 36. Grandu N. 22. Kofler R. 27. Liteta J. 79. Massolin Y. 23. Radunovic B. (G) 12. Sherri A. (G) 35. Sugamele A. 32. Sulev I.	10. Berisha M. 1. Bleve M. (G) 2. Dembele A. 22. Esteban P. 7. Fatah A. 8. Fofana S. 16. Gandelman O. 28. Gorter O. 18. Jean G. 14. Maleh Y. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 33. Penev P. (G) 31. Scott E. 5. Siebert J.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Maldini D. ⚽, Fazzini J. (A),
37', Gaspar K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ngom O. ↓, Fatah A. ↑,
61', Fazzini J. ↓, Felici M. ↑,
66', Rodriguez J. ↓, Kofler R. ↑,
66', Maldini D. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
66', Gaspar K. ↓, Siebert J. ↑,
66', Ilic I. ↓, Maleh Y. ↑,
66', Monteiro J. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
74', Mendy P. ↓, Sugamele A. ↑,
74', Felici M. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
82', Pierotti S. ↓, Berisha M. ↑,
90+5', Deiola A. 🟨,
90+5', Siebert J. 🟨,
90+7', Falcone W. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2.

Recent performances by Cagliari have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lecce has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cagliari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cagliari has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cagliari is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cagliari: Idrissi R. (Knee Injury) Trepy Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cagliari: Mina Y. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Geubbels W. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Cagliari: 0.38% Lecce: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Cagliari - Verona	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.08.26	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Parma - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Cagliari - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.26	Cagliari - Nice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWT
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
31.08.26	Lecce - Roma	0:4 ✺
23.08.26	Venezia - Lecce	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Palermo - Lecce	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Lecce - Istra 1961	2:2 ✺
22.07.26	Lecce - Politehnica Timișoara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.02.26	Cagliari - Lecce	0:2
19.09.25	Lecce - Cagliari	1:2
19.01.25	Cagliari - Lecce	4:1
31.08.24	Lecce - Cagliari	1:0
05.05.24	Cagliari - Lecce	1:1
06.01.24	Lecce - Cagliari	1:1
12.07.20	Cagliari - Lecce	0:0

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