Match Info

Serie A - Round 24

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce)

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Events, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN
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Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
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Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2, Sport 1, Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
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Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
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Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Events, SuperSport Football
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United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Lecce		Udinese

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.88	Watch
	3.1	2.87	2.55
	2.88	2.82	2.88	Watch
	2.96	2.84	2.94
	3.1	2.89	2.64	Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.75
	3.03	2.9	2.94
	2.9	2.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.04)	2.84 ↓ (2.95)	2.81 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
32.3%

Draw
33.7%

Udinese
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

32.3%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

32.7%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.1%	12.1%	75.8%

Lecce - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Udinese will win (votes: 24 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 60% – 90%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lecce (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Udinese (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Udinese will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Udinese (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 4. Gaspar K. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 16. Gandelman O. 20. Ramadani Y. 29. Coulibaly L. 50. Pierotti S. 99. Cheddira W. 23. Sottil R.	40. Okoye M. (G) 13. Bertola N. 31. Kristensen T. 28. Solet O. 19. Ehizibue K. 38. Miller L. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 33. Zemura J. 14. Atta A. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 15. Bayo V.
Substitutes
19. Banda L. 8. Fofana S. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 14. Helgason T. J. 18. Jean G. 36. Marchwinski F. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 79. Ngom O. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 5. Siebert J. 9. Stulic N.	20. Arizala J. 18. Buksa A. 29. Camara A. 7. Gueye I. 27. Kabasele C. 22. Mlacic B. 93. Padelli D. (G) 90. Sava R. (G) 10. Zaniolo N. 6. Zarraga O.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Gandelman O. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Solet O. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Miller L. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
64', Bayo V. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
64', Bertola N. 🟨,
68', Pierotti S. ↓, Banda L. ↑,
78', Cheddira W. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
78', Sottil R. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
84', Banda L. 🟨,
86', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
86', Ehizibue K. ↓, Kabasele C. ↑,
89', Gueye I. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Banda L. ⚽,
90+2', Gandelman O. ↓, Siebert J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.

Lecce is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Udinese is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Camarda F. (Injury)

There will not play in Udinese: Davis K. (Injury) Kamara H. (Injury) Piotrowski J. (Injury) Zanoli A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Stulic N. (Foot Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Udinese: 0.22% Lecce: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Udinese - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.45%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
01.02.26	Torino - Lecce	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Lecce - Lazio	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Milan - Lecce	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Inter Milan - Lecce	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Lecce - Parma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLL
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
02.02.26	Udinese - Roma	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Verona - Udinese	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Udinese - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Udinese - Pisa	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Torino - Udinese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
25.10.25	Udinese - Lecce	3:2
21.02.25	Lecce - Udinese	0:1
05.10.24	Udinese - Lecce	1:0
13.05.24	Lecce - Udinese	0:2
23.10.23	Udinese - Lecce	1:1
28.04.23	Lecce - Udinese	1:0
Club Friendly
23.12.22	Udinese - Lecce	2:0

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