Match Info

Serie A - Round 21

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, ZAP
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Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
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International	Starzplay Sports app


	Udinese		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.45	Watch
	6.9	4.45	1.47	Watch
	7.24	4.48	1.46	Watch
	6.5	4.2	1.44
	7.16	4.6	1.49
	6.33	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.86 ↓ (7.23)	4.46 ↑ (4.24)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
13.9%

Draw
21.3%

Inter Milan
64.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13%

22.2%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

21.6%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	15.6%	78.1%

Udinese - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Inter will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Inter (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Udinese (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Udinese (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Inter (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 59. Zanoli A. 24. Piotrowski J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 11. Kamara H. 14. Atta A. 9. Davis K.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 30. Carlos Augusto 11. Luis Henrique 23. Barella N. 7. Zielinski P. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. 94. Esposito F. 10. Martinez L. (C)
Substitutes
15. Bayo V. 13. Bertola N. 29. Camara A. 19. Ehizibue K. 2. Goglichidze S. 7. Gueye I. 4. Lovric S. 38. Miller L. 77. Modesto R. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O. 33. Zemura J.	15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 14. Bonny A. 45. Bovo L. 40. Calligaris A. (G) 43. Cocchi M. 36. Darmian M. 6. de Vrij S. 17. Diouf A. 16. Frattesi D. 8. Sucic P. 60. Taho A. (G) 9. Thuram M.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽, Esposito F. (A),
45', Piotrowski J. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Esposito F. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
70', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
74', Kabasele C. ↓, Bertola N. ↑,
75', Zanoli A. ↓, Ehizibue K. ↑,
75', Atta A. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
77', Carlos Augusto ↓, Acerbi F. ↑,
78', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
84', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
88', Zielinski P. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
88', Martinez L. ↓, de Vrij S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1.

Udinese has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Inter is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Inter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inter is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Udinese: Buksa A. (Calf Injury) Zaniolo N. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Muscle Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Martinez J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:43. (average 0.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	21:9	12	19
16	Udinese	7	1	1	5	9:16	-7	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 51.52% Udinese: 0.22%

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Milan - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 64.73%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
10.01.26	Udinese - Pisa	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Torino - Udinese	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Como - Udinese	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Udinese - Lazio	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Fiorentina - Udinese	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLTL
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
14.01.26	Inter Milan - Lecce	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Parma - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Inter Milan - Bologna	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
31.08.25	Inter Milan - Udinese	1:2
30.03.25	Inter Milan - Udinese	2:1
Coppa Italia
19.12.24	Inter Milan - Udinese	2:0
Italian Serie A
28.09.24	Udinese - Inter Milan	2:3
08.04.24	Udinese - Inter Milan	1:2
09.12.23	Inter Milan - Udinese	4:0
18.02.23	Inter Milan - Udinese	3:1

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