Match Info

Serie A - Round 16

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
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Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
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	Inter Milan		Lecce

	1	X	2
	1.17	8	15	Watch
	1.16	8.3	14.5	Watch
	1.16	8.2	20.21	Watch
	1.17	7	13
	1.18	8.24	15.4
	1.2	6.66	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.15)	7.73 ↓ (7.86)	15.52 ↓ (17.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
81.5%

Draw
12.4%

Lecce
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.5%

12.1%

5.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.2%	17.8%	0%

Inter Milan - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 37 - 82.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 71% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.75 - Inter (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 16 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 5.

Inter is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lecce's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lecce has had a series of home games.

In this match, Inter is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Muscle Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Lecce: Banda L. (Red Card) Berisha M. (Injury) Camarda F. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Red Card) Ramadani Y. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury) Martinez J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Inter won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:2. (average 2.3:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 2.5:0).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 45.02% Lecce: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
11.01.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Parma - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Inter Milan - Bologna	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Italian Super Cup
19.12.25	Bologna - Inter Milan	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWWL
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
11.01.26	Lecce - Parma	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Lecce - Roma	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Juventus - Lecce	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Lecce - Como	0:3 ✺
12.12.25	Lecce - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
26.01.25	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:4
24.08.24	Inter Milan - Lecce	2:0
25.02.24	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:4
23.12.23	Inter Milan - Lecce	2:0
05.03.23	Inter Milan - Lecce	2:0
13.08.22	Lecce - Inter Milan	1:2
19.01.20	Lecce - Inter Milan	1:1

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