The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lecco 47.6%
Draw 30.1%
Pianese 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
28.2%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
29.7%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Lecco - Pianese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Furlan J. (G) 13. Battistini M. 52. Konate I. 80. Kritta M. 6. Mallamo A. 21. Metlika A. 41. Romani L. 25. Sipos L. 18. Tanco G. J. 11. Urso O. 5. Zanellato N.
1. Filippis E. (G) 6. Amey W. 27. Bertini M. 33. Coccia L. 13. Ercolani L. 29. Fabrizi L. 15. Gorelli M. 10. Ianesi S. 30. Proietto F. 19. Sussi C. 21. Tirelli M.
Substitutes
78. Anastasini J. 27. Basili D. 14. Bonaiti S. . Cosi L. 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 33. Lovisa N. 20. Mihali L. 19. Ndongue F. 99. Parker S. 17. Pellegrino G. 8. Voltan D.
5. Balde M. 11. Bellini L. 4. Colombo M. 77. Martey C. 56. Masetti L. 12. Nespola M. (G) 9. Ongaro E. 8. Simeoni L. 14. Sodero A. 25. Spinosa L. 22. Zambuto A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Ianesi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Mallamo A. 🟨,
53', Metlika A. 🟨,
62', Zanellato N. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
62', Mallamo A. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
63', Tanco G. J. ↓, Mihali L. ↑,
63', Konate I. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
64', Bertini M. 🟨,
70', Ianesi S. ↓, Martey C. ↑,
70', Coccia L. ↓, Simeoni L. ↑,
79', Bertini M. ↓, Sodero A. ↑,
79', Proietto F. ↓, Masetti L. ↑,
79', Romani L. ↓, Basili D. ↑,
86', Fabrizi L. ↓, Ongaro E. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', Masetti L. 🟨,
90+8', Ercolani L. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Sipos L. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
Lecco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pianese is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Pianese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Lecco could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Lecco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.