Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Pianese		Lecco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	2.92	2.62	Watch
	2.83	2.93	2.78
	2.93	2.51	2.87	Watch
	2.7	2.63	2.63
	2.79	2.85	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.67)	2.77 ↓ (3)	2.73 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
33%

Draw
33.3%

Lecco
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

30.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Pianese - Lecco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filippis E. (G) 13. Ercolani L. 56. Masetti L. 6. Amey W. 77. Martey C. 4. Colombo M. 27. Bertini M. 8. Simeoni L. (C) 33. Coccia L. 21. Tirelli M. 9. Ongaro E.	1. Furlan J. (G) 13. Battistini M. (C) 4. Marrone L. 41. Romani L. 11. Urso O. 21. Metlika A. 5. Zanellato N. 6. Mallamo A. 80. Kritta M. 97. Duca E. 25. Sipos L.
Substitutes
5. Balde M. 29. Fabrizi L. 15. Gorelli M. 10. Ianesi S. 12. Nespola M. (G) 25. Spinosa L. 71. Xhani K. 22. Zambuto A. (G)	78. Anastasini J. 27. Basili D. 14. Bonaiti S. 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 16. Ferrini M. 51. Konate I. 20. Mihali L. 19. Ndongue F. 99. Parker S. 17. Pellegrino G. 18. Tanco G. J. 8. Voltan D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Duca E. 🟥,
23', 0 - 1, Kritta M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marrone L. ↓, Tanco G. J. ↑,
46', Colombo M. ↓, Ianesi S. ↑,
52', Zanellato N. 🟨,
62', Mallamo A. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
62', Zanellato N. ↓, Pellegrino G. ↑,
69', Masetti L. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Tirelli M. ⚽,
76', Sipos L. ↓, Konate I. ↑,
77', Romani L. 🟨,
79', Urso O. 🟨,
85', Urso O. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Lecco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pianese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Pianese - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.37%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group A
06.05.26	Juventus U23 - Pianese	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Pianese - Ternana	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Ternana - Pianese	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Pianese - Juventus U23	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Gubbio - Pianese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTWTT
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
06.05.26	Lecco - Giana Erminio	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pergolettese - Lecco	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Lecco - Lumezzane	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Alcione - Lecco	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Lecco - Vicenza Virtus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.10.19	Lecco - Pianese	1:3

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