Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 19

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Referee: Poli A. (Ita)


	Lecco		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.25	3	3.4
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.31	3.07	3.78
	2.28	3.07	3.78
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.16	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.3	3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.71)	3.07 ↓ (3.23)	3.53 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
42.4%

Draw
30.8%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.9%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

29.3%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lecco's performance.

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lecco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	28.6%	19%

Lecco - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Südtirol will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecco: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 32. Lepore F. 2. Celjak V. 6. Bianconi A. 13. Battistini M. 21. Crociata G. 8. Sersanti A. 27. Ionita A. 73. Di Stefano L. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.	1. Poluzzi G. (G) 30. Giorgini A. 5. Vinetot K. 24. Davi S. 8. Lunetta G. 28. Kofler R. 21. Tait F. 42. Peeters D. 17. Casiraghi D. 23. Rauti N. 9. Pecorino E.
Substitutes
80. Agostinelli V. 68. Boci B. 12. Bonadeo L. (G) 5. Degli Innocenti D. 9. Eusepi U. 96. Galli G. 7. Giudici L. 44. Guglielmotti D. 34. Marrone L. 18. Pinzauti L. 22. Saracco U. (G) 11. Tordini M.	15. Broh J. T. 3. Cagnano A. 11. Ciervo R. 26. Cisco A. 14. Cuomo G. 12. Drago G. (G) 77. Lonardi L. 33. Merkaj S. 70. Moutassime A. . Rottensteiner B. 27. Shiba C. 34. Tscholl J. (G)
Coaches
Bonazzoli E.	Valente F.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 15).

Recent matches Lecco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Südtirol is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lecco will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lecco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lecco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Venezia - Lecco	2:2 ✺
17.12.23	Lecco - Ternana	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Sampdoria - Lecco	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Lecco - Bari	1:0 ✺
28.11.23	Como - Lecco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TLLWT
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggiana	2:3 ✺
16.12.23	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	0:1 ✺
28.11.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
02.04.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Lecco	1:1
28.11.21	Lecco - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1

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