Match Info

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday


	Lech Poznań		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.57
	5.00	4.10	1.63
	5.5	4.1	1.62
	5.13	4.24	1.62
	4.99	4.17	1.63	Watch
	4.85	4.15	1.58
	5.07	4.16	1.69
	5.2	4.1	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↓ (5.2)	4.13 ↑ (3.82)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
18.6%

Draw
22.9%

Sunderland
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.3%

24.9%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

24.5%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Lech Poznań aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Lech Poznań - Sunderland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Bookmakers give the edge to Sunderland for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	0:8	-8	0

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Sunderland: 6.29% Lech Poznan: 0.39%

Last Results with these Odds

Sunderland - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.87%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Lech Poznań - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.10.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Lech Poznań - Energie Cottbus	2:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.26	Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Crystal Palace - Lech Poznań	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTWL
- Sunderland AFC
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Torreense - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Manchester City - Sunderland	5:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Sunderland - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Sunderland - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWL

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