Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA 9, Q Arena Asia
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4, Sky Sport Mix
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 4, VOOsport World 1
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 7
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	21:00	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 7
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport Mix
Hungary	21:00	Sport 2
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 254
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 4
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
Norway	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN 7
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 7
Philippines	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 4, M+ Liga de Campeones 7, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sky Sport Mix
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Sport


	Sunderland		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	6.50
	1.50	4.33	6.25
	1.50	4.20	6.50
	1.51	4.41	7.02
	1.52	4.6	6.34	Watch
	1.48	4.35	6.95
	1.51	4.36	6.18
	1.52	4.50	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.73)	4.39 ↑ (3.97)	6.57 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
63.6%

Draw
21.8%

AZ Alkmaar
14.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

24.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunderland's performance.

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	4.3%	13%

Sunderland - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Sunderland (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sunderland (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.95) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sunderland will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 4. Danso K. 15. Alderete O. 17. Mandava R. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 32. Hume T. 28. Le Fee E. 39. Fofana M. 18. Isidor W.	28. De Busser J. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 4. Schouten L. 5. Chavez Garcia M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 6. Koopmeiners P. 24. Oufkir A. 10. Smit K. 11. Daal R. 9. Meerdink M.
Substitutes
29. Ahoka J. 10. Angulo N. 5. Ballard D. 9. Brobbey B. 48. Jones J. 6. Methalie D. 12. Meunier T. 21. Moore S. (G) 13. O'Nien L. 77. Proctor T. 11. Rigg C. 57. Tuterov T.	17. Byskov V. 34. de Wit M. 29. Hoedt W. 19. Hornkamp J. 31. Ichihara R. 18. Kovacs B. 21. Kwakman D. 2. Maikuma S. 1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 14. Stengs C. 7. Weslley Patati
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Echteld L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Hume T. 🟨,
30', Alderete O. 🟨,
39', Oufkir A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oufkir A. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
52', Alderete O. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
59', Smit K. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
64', Weslley Patati 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Le Fee E. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Hume T. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
67', Fofana M. ↓, Brobbey B. ↑,
67', Isidor W. ↓, Angulo N. ↑,
72', Mukiele N. 🟨,
76', Clasie J. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
83', Meerdink M. ↓, Hornkamp J. ↑,
83', Schouten L. ↓, Stengs C. ↑,
84', Danso K. ↓, Rigg C. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Sunderland have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AZ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sunderland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sunderland is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Angulo J. (Off the roster) Browne A. (Off the roster) Diarra H. (Hamstring Injury) Ellborg M. (Off the roster) Mundle R. (Knee Injury) Ta Bi J. (Off the roster) Talbi C. (Off the roster)

There will not play in AZ: Kasius D. (Groin Injury) Resink S. (Knee Injury) Zoet J. (Off the roster)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sunderland	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	6:2	4	6

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Sunderland: 5.77% AZ Alkmaar: 1.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
12.09.26	Sunderland - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Sunderland - Hull City	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Brentford - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sunderland - Fulham	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Ipswich Town - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTWL
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
11.09.26	AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	5:2 ✺
22.08.26	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWW

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