Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	23:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	01:00	Toffee Live
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Amazon Prime Video
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	21:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport
India	00:30	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	02:00	Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Japan	04:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Astro Premier League 5, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, FOX One, FOX Sports
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New Zealand	07:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	03:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Voyo
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium, Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	21:00	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	03:00	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	FuboTV, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	02:00	FPT Play


	Sunderland		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	6.00	3.60	1.60
	5.50	3.75	1.65
	6.75	3.85	1.56
	6.10	3.85	1.69
	6.02	4.01	1.62	Watch
	6.05	3.75	1.65
	6.55	3.70	1.62	Watch
	6.00	3.85	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.12 ↓ (6.65)	3.8 ↓ (4.21)	1.63 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
15.7%

Draw
25.3%

Arsenal
59%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.3%

22.6%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

21.6%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	7.9%	86.8%

Sunderland - Arsenal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Arsenal (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.07) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - Arsenal & No (2.50) (votes: 78%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (33 of 38 users predict this - 86.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.09% – 97.59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 4. Danso K. 5. Ballard D. 17. Mandava R. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 12. Meunier T. 28. Le Fee E. 10. Angulo N. 9. Brobbey B.	1. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 15. Konsa E. 6. Gabriel 33. Calafiori R. 41. Rice D. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 7. Saka B. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 17. Tzolis C. 29. Havertz K.
Substitutes
15. Alderete O. 31. Ellborg M. (G) 39. Fofana M. 32. Hume T. 18. Isidor W. 6. Methalie D. 13. O'Nien L. 11. Rigg C. 7. Talbi C.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 39. Bruno Guimaraes 10. Eze E. 14. Gyokeres V. 5. Hincapie P. 20. Madueke N. 23. Merino M. 12. Timber J. 36. Zubimendi M.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Mandava R. 🟨,
39', Arteta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Bruno Guimaraes ↑,
46', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
56', Le Fee E. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 0 - 1, Bruno Guimaraes ⚽, Rice D. (A),
66', Ballard D. 🟨,
69', Xhaka G. 🟨,
70', Angulo N. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
76', Meunier T. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
81', Brobbey B. 🟨,
81', Tzolis C. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
81', Rice D. ↓, Zubimendi M. ↑,
85', Odegaard M. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
90+1', Gabriel 🟨,
90+1', Mukiele N. 🟨,
90+3', Havertz K. 🟨,
90+6', Mandava R. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 2, Saka B. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 0.

Sunderland is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arsenal is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sunderland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arsenal is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Diarra H. (Hamstring Injury) Mundle R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Saliba W. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Mosquera C. (Muscle Injury) Timber J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:34. (average 0.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.9:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	13:5	8	21
20	Sunderland	8	1	2	5	6:14	-8	5

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 62.36% Sunderland: 0.12%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Cup
08.09.26	Sunderland - Hull City	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Brentford - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sunderland - Fulham	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Ipswich Town - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Sunderland - Rennes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWLW
- Arsenal FC
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Napoli - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
06.09.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Aston Villa - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Arsenal - Coventry City	3:0 ✺
English FA Community Shield
16.08.26	Arsenal - Manchester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
07.02.26	Arsenal - Sunderland	3:0
08.11.25	Sunderland - Arsenal	2:2
English League Cup
21.12.21	Arsenal - Sunderland	5:1
English Premier League
16.05.17	Arsenal - Sunderland	2:0
29.10.16	Sunderland - Arsenal	1:4
24.04.16	Sunderland - Arsenal	0:0
English FA Cup
09.01.16	Arsenal - Sunderland	3:1

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