Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video
Ecuador	ESPN
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Astro Premier League 5, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One, FOX Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium, Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FuboTV, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Sunderland		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	6.00	3.60	1.60
	5.50	3.75	1.65
	6.75	3.85	1.56
	6.10	3.85	1.69
	6.02	4.01	1.62	Watch
	6.05	3.75	1.65
	6.55	3.70	1.62	Watch
	6.00	3.85	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.12 ↓ (6.65)	3.8 ↓ (4.21)	1.63 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sunderland
15.7%

Draw
25.3%

Arsenal
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

22.6%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

21.6%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	7.9%	86.8%

Sunderland - Arsenal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Arsenal (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.07) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - Arsenal & No (2.50) (votes: 78%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (33 of 38 users predict this - 86.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.09% – 97.59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 4. Danso K. 5. Ballard D. 17. Mandava R. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 12. Meunier T. 28. Le Fee E. 10. Angulo N. 9. Brobbey B.	1. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 15. Konsa E. 6. Gabriel 33. Calafiori R. 41. Rice D. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 7. Saka B. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 17. Tzolis C. 29. Havertz K.
Substitutes
15. Alderete O. 31. Ellborg M. (G) 39. Fofana M. 32. Hume T. 18. Isidor W. 6. Methalie D. 13. O'Nien L. 11. Rigg C. 7. Talbi C.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 39. Bruno Guimaraes 10. Eze E. 14. Gyokeres V. 5. Hincapie P. 20. Madueke N. 23. Merino M. 12. Timber J. 36. Zubimendi M.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Mandava R. 🟨,
39', Arteta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Bruno Guimaraes ↑,
46', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
56', Le Fee E. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 0 - 1, Bruno Guimaraes ⚽, Rice D. (A),
66', Ballard D. 🟨,
69', Xhaka G. 🟨,
70', Angulo N. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
76', Meunier T. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
81', Brobbey B. 🟨,
81', Tzolis C. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
81', Rice D. ↓, Zubimendi M. ↑,
85', Odegaard M. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
90+1', Gabriel 🟨,
90+1', Mukiele N. 🟨,
90+3', Havertz K. 🟨,
90+6', Mandava R. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 2, Saka B. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 0.

Sunderland is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arsenal is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sunderland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arsenal is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Diarra H. (Hamstring Injury) Mundle R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Saliba W. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Mosquera C. (Muscle Injury) Timber J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:34. (average 0.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.9:1.8).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 58.36% Sunderland: 0.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Cup
08.09.26	Sunderland - Hull City	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Brentford - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sunderland - Fulham	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Ipswich Town - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Sunderland - Rennes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWLW
- Arsenal FC
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Napoli - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
06.09.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Aston Villa - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Arsenal - Coventry City	3:0 ✺
English FA Community Shield
16.08.26	Arsenal - Manchester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
07.02.26	Arsenal - Sunderland	3:0
08.11.25	Sunderland - Arsenal	2:2
English League Cup
21.12.21	Arsenal - Sunderland	5:1
English Premier League
16.05.17	Arsenal - Sunderland	2:0
29.10.16	Sunderland - Arsenal	1:4
24.04.16	Sunderland - Arsenal	0:0
English FA Cup
09.01.16	Arsenal - Sunderland	3:1

Upcoming Matches